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Genuine Parts Company

GPC · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
126.42 USD
+0.00 (1.73%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

68
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 72
Momentum 64
Fundamental (0%) 56
Macro 65
Liquidity 32
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 40%
Trend & RS 71.8 20%
Momentum 63.6 20%
Fundamental 55.6 0%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 32.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 126.36
Stop Loss 118.08 (6.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 134.63 (+6.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 142.91 (+13.1%)
ATR(14) 4.14 (3.3%)
Risk per Share 8.28
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 32.2 -0.71
Momentum 63.6 +0.55
Quality 20.0 -1.20
Composite 38.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 294.0 18.0 +1533% above
P/B Ratio 3.9 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 3.4% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
6.52
vs
Market Price
126.42
Upside
-94.8%
Margin of Safety -1839.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)225,184,974
Terminal Value PV681,536,127
Total Enterprise Value906,721,101

Assumptions

Base FCF47,858,006
Growth Rate (5yr)6.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
44.83%
Full Kelly
22.42%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
68.3
RSI(14)
6.6064
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

54
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+5.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance +16.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 68.3 NEUTRAL
Macd 6.6064 BULLISH
Ma Cross 105.76 / 119.15 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.06x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High151.57
Bollinger Upper134.45
SMA(200)119.15
SMA(50)105.76
SMA(20)115.09
Current Price126.42
Bollinger Lower95.74
52-Week Low90.78
ATR(14)4.14

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.64x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.99x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.06x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 124.91 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 115.75 Base line
Senkou A 120.33 Leading span A
Senkou B 113.11 Leading span B
Cloud 113.11 – 120.33 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 126.36 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 98.28 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 95.74 – 134.45  |  KC: 108.58 – 121.61

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 23

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 109.47 Anchor: 2026-05-20 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +15.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/GPC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap17.59B
P/E (TTM)294.01
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.89
EPS0.43

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.8%
Profit Margin0.2%
ROE1.3%
Debt/Equity149.45
Current Ratio1.09
Dividend Yield3.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.64

Trading Data

126.42
Open
126.42
Day High
126.42
Day Low
144.6K
Volume (0.1x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —