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Humana Inc.

HUM · Healthcare · · USD
304.85 USD
+0.00 (3.22%)
● Updated 2026-05-14 12:49 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

73
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 87
Momentum 100
Fundamental 78
Macro 72
Liquidity 62
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 10%
Trend & RS 87.2 10%
Momentum 100.0 5%
Fundamental 77.8 40%
Macro 71.8 15%
Liquidity 61.9 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 304.85
Stop Loss 281.05 (7.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 328.65 (+7.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 352.45 (+15.6%)
ATR(14) 11.90 (3.9%)
Risk per Share 23.80
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 61.0 +0.44
Momentum 100.0 +2.00
Quality 30.2 -0.79
Composite 63.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 32.6 22.0 +48% above
P/B Ratio 2.1 4.0 Below
Dividend Yield 1.2% 1.5% Below avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
275.80
vs
Market Price
304.85
Upside
-9.5%
Margin of Safety -10.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)6,640,679,499
Terminal Value PV26,471,736,369
Total Enterprise Value33,112,415,868

Assumptions

Base FCF899,020,556
Growth Rate (5yr)23.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
47.52%
Full Kelly
23.76%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
88.78
RSI(14)
23.9598
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

92
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+67.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance +75.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 88.78 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 23.9598 BULLISH
Ma Cross 202.23 / 240.15 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 1.51x HIGH

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High315.35
Bollinger Upper296.52
SMA(200)240.15
SMA(50)202.23
SMA(20)238.4
Current Price304.85
Bollinger Lower180.28
52-Week Low163.11
ATR(14)11.9

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-07 Normal 0.58x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.55x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.22x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 Normal 1.43x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13 Normal 1.51x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 269.81 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 249.26 Base line
Senkou A 259.53 Leading span A
Senkou B 235.39 Leading span B
Cloud 235.39 – 259.53 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 304.85 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 198.39 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 180.28 – 296.52  |  KC: 221.03 – 255.77

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 214.93 Anchor: 2026-03-20 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +41.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/HUM

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap36.60B
P/E (TTM)32.57
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.08
EPS9.36

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth23.5%
Profit Margin0.8%
ROE6.3%
Debt/Equity77.07
Current Ratio1.77
Dividend Yield1.2%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.68

Trading Data

304.85
Open
304.85
Day High
304.85
Day Low
2.64M
Volume (1.5x avg)

Recent News (8)

2 Profitable Stocks with Exciting Potential and 1 We Turn Down
StockStory · 2026-05-13
Piper Sandler Just Hiked Humana Price Target to $254: Medicare Advantage Beat Powers the Bull Case
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-05-13
The Silver Tsunami: Healthcare ETFs to Buy Amid Aging US Demographics
Zacks · 2026-05-13
S&P 500, Nasdaq end lower as inflation, Iran tensions weigh
Reuters · 2026-05-12
What Humana (HUM)'s Lowered 2026 EPS Outlook and Buybacks Mean For Shareholders
Simply Wall St. · 2026-05-09
Profound Medical Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat · 2026-05-08
This $4 Million Warrior Met Coal Sale May Be More About Profit Taking Than Coal Prices
Motley Fool · 2026-05-07
CVS Health Stock Jumps After Earnings. What’s Encouraging Wall Street.
Barrons.com · 2026-05-06

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —