iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

IBIT · · · USD

45.23 USD

0.00 (-2.42%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 66

Momentum 80

Fundamental 0

Macro 64

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	65.8	30%
Momentum	79.9	15%
Fundamental	0.0	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	36.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	45.23
Stop Loss	42.59 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	47.87 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	50.51 (+11.7%)

ATR(14)	1.32 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	2.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	50.0	+0.00
Momentum	79.9	+1.19
Quality	50.0	+0.00
Composite	60.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 0 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	N/A	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	0.0%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against sector median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

40.36%

Full Kelly

20.18%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

67.33

RSI(14)

2.2614

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+27.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE
RS New High	No (1d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	67.33	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.2614	BULLISH
Ma Cross	38.06 / 42.38	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.88x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	71.82
Bollinger Upper	49.4
SMA(200)	42.38
SMA(50)	38.06
SMA(20)	41.15
Current Price	45.23
Bollinger Lower	32.91
52-Week Low	32.84
ATR(14)	1.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	No Supply	0.52x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-03	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	44.80	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	40.83	Base line
Senkou A	42.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	39.61	Leading span B
Cloud	39.61 – 42.81	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	45.23	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	35.64	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH