iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
IBIT · · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
58
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
77
Momentum
64
Fundamental (0%)
0
Macro
22
Liquidity
51
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 77.2 | 20% |
| Momentum | 63.5 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 0.0 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 50.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 43.03 |
| Stop Loss | 40.35 (6.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 45.71 (+6.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 48.39 (+12.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.34 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.68 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 50.0 | +0.00 | |
| Momentum | 57.7 | +0.31 | |
| Quality | 50.0 | +0.00 | |
| Composite | 52.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
0
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | N/A | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against sector median multiples.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.18%
Full Kelly
19.09%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
39.1
RSI(14)
-0.5447
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
92
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+21.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE |
| RS New High | No (33d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 39.1 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.5447 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 45.86 / 41.31 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.69x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 60.36 |
| Bollinger Upper | 48.35 |
| SMA(200) | 41.31 |
| SMA(50) | 45.86 |
| SMA(20) | 45.71 |
| Current Price | 43.03 |
| Bollinger Lower | 43.08 |
| 52-Week Low | 32.84 |
| ATR(14) | 1.34 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
57%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 1.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 2.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.61x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.49x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 44.51 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 46.02 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 45.27 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 45.88 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 45.27 – 45.88 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 43.03 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 47.96 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 43.08 – 48.35 | KC: 43.92 – 47.51
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 9 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 41.79
Anchor: 2026-06-25 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/IBIT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 0.00 |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | N/A |
| EPS | N/A |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | N/A |
| Profit Margin | N/A |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | N/A |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
43.03
Open
43.03
Day High
43.03
Day Low
67.88M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)