iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

IBIT · · · USD

46.47 USD

+0.00 (2.26%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 10:52 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 52

Momentum 58

Fundamental 0

Macro 65

Liquidity 14

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	52.5	30%
Momentum	58.3	15%
Fundamental	0.0	10%
Macro	65.3	20%
Liquidity	14.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	46.47
Stop Loss	44.15 (5.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	48.79 (+5.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	51.11 (+10.0%)

ATR(14)	1.16 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	2.32
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	50.0	+0.00
Momentum	58.3	+0.33
Quality	50.0	+0.00
Composite	52.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 0 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	N/A	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	0.0%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against sector median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.25%

Full Kelly

15.62%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

66.21

RSI(14)

1.3031

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+9.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE
RS New High	Near 3-month high 4d since high
Sector Outperformance	+0.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	66.21	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.3031	BULLISH
Ma Cross	41.51 / 52.67	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.78x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	71.82
Bollinger Upper	46.85
SMA(200)	52.67
SMA(50)	41.51
SMA(20)	44.13
Current Price	46.47
Bollinger Lower	41.4
52-Week Low	35.30
ATR(14)	1.16

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-05	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	44.50	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	42.47	Base line
Senkou A	43.48	Leading span A
Senkou B	41.73	Leading span B
Cloud	41.73 – 43.48	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	46.47	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	39.52	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH