Johnson Controls International plc
JCI · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
59
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
50
Momentum
36
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
89
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 50.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 36.4 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 89.0 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 131.46 |
| Stop Loss | 119.50 (9.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 143.42 (+9.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 155.38 (+18.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.98 (4.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 11.96 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 46.5 | -0.14 | |
| Momentum | 33.1 | -0.68 | |
| Quality | 39.1 | -0.44 | |
| Composite | 39.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 27.9 | 18.0 | +55% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.8 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
83.09
vs
Market Price
131.46
Upside
-36.8%
| Margin of Safety | -58.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 11,884,686,709 |
| Terminal Value PV | 38,445,247,392 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 50,329,934,101 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,287,279,691 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 10.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.58%
Full Kelly
19.29%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
34.19
RSI(14)
-1.7592
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
50
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-8.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (5d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -11.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 34.19 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -1.7592 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 147.19 / 141.08 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.09x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 160.41 |
| Bollinger Upper | 162.66 |
| SMA(200) | 141.08 |
| SMA(50) | 147.19 |
| SMA(20) | 149.27 |
| Current Price | 131.46 |
| Bollinger Lower | 135.88 |
| 52-Week Low | 108.41 |
| ATR(14) | 5.98 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.09x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 145.56 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 145.74 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 145.65 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 145.74 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 145.65 – 145.74 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 131.46 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 151.77 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 135.88 – 162.66 | KC: 140.23 – 158.31
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 137.73
Anchor: 2026-01-06 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-4.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/JCI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 79.63B |
| P/E (TTM) | 27.85 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.83 |
| EPS | 4.72 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 10.4% |
| Profit Margin | 11.1% |
| ROE | 21.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 67.98 |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.29 |
Trading Data
131.46
Open
131.46
Day High
131.46
Day Low
9.65M
Volume (2.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)