JD.com, Inc.

JD · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

28.26 USD

+0.00 (1.87%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 42

Momentum 46

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	41.7	30%
Momentum	45.6	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	42.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	28.26
Stop Loss	27.04 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	29.48 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	30.70 (+8.6%)

ATR(14)	0.61 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	1.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	81.2	+1.25
Momentum	45.6	-0.17
Quality	24.7	-1.01
Composite	50.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	18.8	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.2	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

18.52

Market Price

28.26

Upside

-34.5%

Margin of Safety	-52.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	6,669,271,552
Terminal Value PV	18,338,116,475
Total Enterprise Value	25,007,388,027

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,620,600,054
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

27.81%

Full Kelly

13.9%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

39.69

RSI(14)

-0.6519

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-6.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (25d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-6.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	39.69	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.6519	BEARISH
Ma Cross	29.47 / 28.66	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.56x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	36.86
Bollinger Upper	32.19
SMA(200)	28.66
SMA(50)	29.47
SMA(20)	29.27
Current Price	28.26
Bollinger Lower	26.35
52-Week Low	24.51
ATR(14)	0.61

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

60%

Selling Climax Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)

Acc: 3.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	No Supply	0.56x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	28.37	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	30.42	Base line
Senkou A	29.40	Leading span A
Senkou B	29.02	Leading span B
Cloud	29.02 – 29.40	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	28.26	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	33.01	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH