JD.com, Inc.
JD · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
54
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
49
Fundamental (0%)
44
Macro
24
Liquidity
77
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 65.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 49.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 77.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 28.64 |
| Stop Loss | 27.30 (4.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 29.98 (+4.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 31.32 (+9.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.67 (2.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.34 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 79.8 | +1.19 | |
| Momentum | 44.8 | -0.21 | |
| Quality | 24.7 | -1.01 | |
| Composite | 49.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.0 | 18.0 | +11% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.5% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
17.65
vs
Market Price
28.64
Upside
-38.4%
| Margin of Safety | -62.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 6,358,038,522 |
| Terminal Value PV | 17,482,336,719 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 23,840,375,241 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,544,971,964 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
35.64%
Full Kelly
17.82%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
69.4
RSI(14)
0.0563
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
63
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-8.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 69.4 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0563 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 26.87 / 28.3 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.85x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 34.30 |
| Bollinger Upper | 28.26 |
| SMA(200) | 28.3 |
| SMA(50) | 26.87 |
| SMA(20) | 26.46 |
| Current Price | 28.64 |
| Bollinger Lower | 24.66 |
| 52-Week Low | 24.51 |
| ATR(14) | 0.67 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
75%
Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 27.03 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 27.03 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 27.03 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 27.22 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 27.03 – 27.22 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 28.64 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.37 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 24.66 – 28.26 | KC: 25.48 – 27.44
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 20 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 25 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 28.65
Anchor: 2026-03-05 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/JD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 38.68B |
| P/E (TTM) | 20.03 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.17 |
| EPS | 1.43 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -2.9% |
| Profit Margin | 1.1% |
| ROE | 6.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 37.29 |
| Current Ratio | 1.14 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.30 |
Trading Data
28.64
Open
28.64
Day High
28.64
Day Low
16.60M
Volume (2.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)