JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · Financial Services · · USD

358.64 USD

0.00 (-0.94%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 86

Momentum 76

Fundamental 35

Macro 64

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	86.3	10%
Momentum	76.0	5%
Fundamental	34.9	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	56.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	358.64
Stop Loss	346.72 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	370.56 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	382.48 (+6.7%)

ATR(14)	5.96 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	11.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	76.9	+1.08
Momentum	76.0	+1.04
Quality	72.7	+0.91
Composite	75.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.71 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.4	18.0	-15% below
P/B Ratio	2.7	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	1.7%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

727.78

Market Price

358.64

Upside

+102.9%

Margin of Safety	+50.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	381,502,299,346
Terminal Value PV	1,553,067,580,769
Total Enterprise Value	1,934,569,880,115

Assumptions

Base FCF	49,654,918,123
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

35.92%

Full Kelly

17.96%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.03

RSI(14)

2.1408

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+10.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (28d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+7.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.03	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.1408	BEARISH
Ma Cross	349.63 / 316.32	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.89x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	366.50
Bollinger Upper	366.19
SMA(200)	316.32
SMA(50)	349.63
SMA(20)	358.34
Current Price	358.64
Bollinger Lower	350.5
52-Week Low	279.10
ATR(14)	5.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.46x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	357.55	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	358.10	Base line
Senkou A	357.82	Leading span A
Senkou B	345.03	Leading span B
Cloud	345.03 – 357.82	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	358.64	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	351.79	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH