JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · Financial Services · · USD

336.47 USD

+0.00 (0.30%)

● Updated 2026-07-11 21:40 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 90

Momentum 65

Fundamental 35

Macro 75

Liquidity 52

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	89.5	10%
Momentum	65.2	5%
Fundamental	34.6	40%
Macro	74.8	15%
Liquidity	51.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	336.47
Stop Loss	322.65 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	350.29 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	364.11 (+8.2%)

ATR(14)	6.91 (2.0%)
Risk per Share	13.82
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	76.5	+1.06
Momentum	65.2	+0.61
Quality	70.4	+0.82
Composite	70.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.68 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	16.1	18.0	-10% below
P/B Ratio	2.6	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	1.8%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

403.87

Market Price

336.47

Upside

+20.0%

Margin of Safety	+16.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	247,759,392,213
Terminal Value PV	834,414,107,753
Total Enterprise Value	1,082,173,499,966

Assumptions

Base FCF	44,779,994,818
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

36.2%

Full Kelly

18.1%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

61.73

RSI(14)

6.6406

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-2.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	61.73	NEUTRAL
Macd	6.6406	BEARISH
Ma Cross	313.82 / 306.13	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.58x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	343.45
Bollinger Upper	343.24
SMA(200)	306.13
SMA(50)	313.82
SMA(20)	329.47
Current Price	336.47
Bollinger Lower	315.69
52-Week Low	279.10
ATR(14)	6.91

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Demand	0.58x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	332.48	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	318.57	Base line
Senkou A	325.52	Leading span A
Senkou B	317.13	Leading span B
Cloud	317.13 – 325.52	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	336.47	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	299.50	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH