LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
LYB · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
26
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
57
Momentum
40
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
24
Liquidity
60
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 56.8 | 20% |
| Momentum | 39.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 59.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 61.12 |
| Stop Loss | 56.65 (7.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 65.61 (+7.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 70.08 (+14.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.24 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 4.48 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 82.3 | +1.29 | |
| Momentum | 39.7 | -0.41 | |
| Quality | 36.3 | -0.55 | |
| Composite | 52.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.9 | 18.0 | -17% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
71.52
vs
Market Price
61.63
Upside
+16.0%
| Margin of Safety | +13.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 5,488,747,697 |
| Terminal Value PV | 17,628,279,447 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 23,117,027,144 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,067,993,185 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 10.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
12.05%
Full Kelly
6.03%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.6%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
42.01
RSI(14)
0.5375
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
91
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+3.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (5d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +2.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 42.01 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.5375 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 62.7 / 63.3 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.07x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 83.94 |
| Bollinger Upper | 69.62 |
| SMA(200) | 63.3 |
| SMA(50) | 62.7 |
| SMA(20) | 64.23 |
| Current Price | 61.63 |
| Bollinger Lower | 58.84 |
| 52-Week Low | 41.58 |
| ATR(14) | 2.24 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
75%
Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Stopping Volume | 2.08x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.07x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 64.78 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 62.95 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 63.86 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 62.34 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 62.34 – 63.86 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 61.12 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 58.58 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 58.84 – 69.62 | KC: 61.01 – 67.46
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 59.82
Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/LYB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 19.92B |
| P/E (TTM) | 14.92 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.77 |
| EPS | 4.13 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 10.0% |
| Profit Margin | 4.1% |
| ROE | 12.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 120.55 |
| Current Ratio | 1.78 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.32 |
Trading Data
61.63
Open
61.63
Day High
61.63
Day Low
5.43M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)