LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LYB · Basic Materials · · USD

63.52 USD

0.00 (-1.91%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 46

Fundamental 22

Macro 64

Liquidity 39

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	98.0	10%
Momentum	45.7	5%
Fundamental	22.2	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	38.8	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	63.52
Stop Loss	59.16 (6.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	67.88 (+6.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	72.24 (+13.7%)

ATR(14)	2.18 (3.4%)
Risk per Share	4.36
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	85.0	+1.40
Momentum	45.7	-0.17
Quality	21.9	-1.12
Composite	50.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.9	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.3%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

29.43%

Full Kelly

14.72%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.03

RSI(14)

1.0508

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-5.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.03	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.0508	BEARISH
Ma Cross	60.16 / 59.25	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.74x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	83.94
Bollinger Upper	67.44
SMA(200)	59.25
SMA(50)	60.16
SMA(20)	64.15
Current Price	63.52
Bollinger Lower	60.85
52-Week Low	41.58
ATR(14)	2.18

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	64.48	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	62.85	Base line
Senkou A	63.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	59.94	Leading span B
Cloud	59.94 – 63.67	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	63.52	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	61.45	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL