Mastercard Incorporated
MA · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)
82
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
92
Momentum
84
Fundamental (0%)
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
78
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 91.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 84.0 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 78.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 655.92 |
| Stop Loss | 626.88 (4.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 684.96 (+4.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 714.00 (+8.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 14.52 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 29.04 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 17.4 | -1.30 | |
| Momentum | 84.0 | +1.36 | |
| Quality | 71.5 | +0.86 | |
| Composite | 57.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.3 | 18.0 | +91% above |
| P/B Ratio | 84.7 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 53.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
389.31
vs
Market Price
655.92
Upside
-40.6%
| Margin of Safety | -68.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 76,336,970,243 |
| Terminal Value PV | 262,820,293,292 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 339,157,263,535 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 13,318,540,016 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 14.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
52.83%
Full Kelly
26.41%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
65.62
RSI(14)
19.9142
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
78
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+21.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +10.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 65.62 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 19.9142 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 591.32 / 536.75 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.4x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 681.99 |
| Bollinger Upper | 667.78 |
| SMA(200) | 536.75 |
| SMA(50) | 591.32 |
| SMA(20) | 624.18 |
| Current Price | 655.92 |
| Bollinger Lower | 580.58 |
| 52-Week Low | 464.52 |
| ATR(14) | 14.52 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 643.50 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 613.29 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 628.39 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 613.29 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 613.29 – 628.39 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 655.92 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 549.17 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 580.58 – 667.78 | KC: 603.01 – 645.34
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 557.65
Anchor: 2026-06-03 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+17.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MA
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 571.42B |
| P/E (TTM) | 34.32 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 84.71 |
| EPS | 19.11 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 14.0% |
| Profit Margin | 46.7% |
| ROE | 2.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 355.16 |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 53.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.77 |
Trading Data
655.92
Open
655.92
Day High
655.92
Day Low
4.94M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)