Medtronic plc

MDT · Healthcare · · USD

92.44 USD

0.00 (-1.83%)

● Updated 2026-09-08 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 67

Momentum 66

Fundamental 78

Macro 65

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	66.6	10%
Momentum	65.6	5%
Fundamental	77.8	40%
Macro	64.7	15%
Liquidity	43.8	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	92.48
Stop Loss	87.84 (5.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	97.12 (+5.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	101.76 (+10.0%)

ATR(14)	2.32 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	4.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	70.3	+0.81
Momentum	65.6	+0.62
Quality	44.6	-0.21
Composite	60.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	22.8	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.4	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.1%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

81.72

Market Price

92.44

Upside

-11.6%

Margin of Safety	-13.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	23,619,950,463
Terminal Value PV	80,912,149,941
Total Enterprise Value	104,532,100,404

Assumptions

Base FCF	4,154,640,005
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

42.35%

Full Kelly

21.17%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

57.51

RSI(14)

1.6352

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+11.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 13d since high
Sector Outperformance	+4.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	57.51	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.6352	BEARISH
Ma Cross	86.97 / 88.64	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.47x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	106.33
Bollinger Upper	94.32
SMA(200)	88.64
SMA(50)	86.97
SMA(20)	91.88
Current Price	92.44
Bollinger Lower	89.44
52-Week Low	73.31
ATR(14)	2.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION C Confidence

56%

Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.5 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Upthrust	2.4x	High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-09-02	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.15x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08	Normal	0.47x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	92.67	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	90.18	Base line
Senkou A	91.43	Leading span A
Senkou B	86.78	Leading span B
Cloud	86.78 – 91.43	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	92.48	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	86.68	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH