Medtronic plc

MDT · Healthcare · · USD

94.17 USD

+0.00 (1.15%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 67

Momentum 68

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 58

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	66.6	30%
Momentum	68.4	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	57.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	94.17
Stop Loss	89.61 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	98.73 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	103.29 (+9.7%)

ATR(14)	2.28 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	4.56
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.6	+0.78
Momentum	68.4	+0.74
Quality	44.6	-0.21
Composite	60.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.2	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.4	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.1%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

81.72

Market Price

94.17

Upside

-13.2%

Margin of Safety	-15.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	23,619,949,301
Terminal Value PV	80,912,145,964
Total Enterprise Value	104,532,095,265

Assumptions

Base FCF	4,154,639,801
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

41.9%

Full Kelly

20.95%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

64.55

RSI(14)

1.7251

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+11.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 12d since high
Sector Outperformance	+8.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	64.55	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.7251	BEARISH
Ma Cross	86.74 / 88.67	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.13x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	106.33
Bollinger Upper	94.38
SMA(200)	88.67
SMA(50)	86.74
SMA(20)	91.73
Current Price	94.17
Bollinger Lower	89.07
52-Week Low	73.31
ATR(14)	2.28

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION C Confidence

56%

Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.5 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Upthrust	2.35x	High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-09-02	Normal	1.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	92.67	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	89.62	Base line
Senkou A	91.15	Leading span A
Senkou B	86.78	Leading span B
Cloud	86.78 – 91.15	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	94.17	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	85.39	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH