Medtronic plc
MDT · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
67
/ 100
Technical
67
Trend & RS
85
Momentum
87
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
50
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 66.7 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 84.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 87.4 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 50.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 104.84 |
| Stop Loss | 99.64 (5.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 110.04 (+5.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 115.24 (+9.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.60 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.20 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 65.5 | +0.62 | |
| Momentum | 87.4 | +1.50 | |
| Quality | 44.6 | -0.21 | |
| Composite | 65.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.8 | 22.0 | +17% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.7 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% | 1.5% | Above avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
81.92
vs
Market Price
104.84
Upside
-21.9%
| Margin of Safety | -28.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 23,678,127,118 |
| Terminal Value PV | 81,111,439,024 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 104,789,566,142 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 4,164,873,009 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 13.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
43.66%
Full Kelly
21.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 67/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
73.42
RSI(14)
3.0679
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
61
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+26.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 73.42 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 3.0679 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 92.17 / 87.04 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.62x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 106.33 |
| Bollinger Upper | 103.64 |
| SMA(200) | 87.04 |
| SMA(50) | 92.17 |
| SMA(20) | 95.77 |
| Current Price | 104.84 |
| Bollinger Lower | 87.9 |
| 52-Week Low | 73.31 |
| ATR(14) | 2.6 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | No Demand | 0.46x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 99.62 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 95.71 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 97.67 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 95.71 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 95.71 – 97.67 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 104.84 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 86.44 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 87.9 – 103.64 | KC: 91.83 – 99.71
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 8 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 22 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 87.84
Anchor: 2026-06-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+19.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MDT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 134.10B |
| P/E (TTM) | 25.76 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.67 |
| EPS | 4.07 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 13.7% |
| Profit Margin | 13.9% |
| ROE | 10.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 55.37 |
| Current Ratio | 2.07 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.57 |
Trading Data
104.84
Open
104.84
Day High
104.84
Day Low
11.60M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)