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Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

MLM · Basic Materials · · USD
514.77 USD
+0.00 (1.15%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

57
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 23
Momentum 35
Fundamental 81
Macro 64
Liquidity 54
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 10%
Trend & RS 22.7 10%
Momentum 34.7 5%
Fundamental 80.9 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 54.0 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 514.77
Stop Loss 487.37 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 542.17 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 569.57 (+10.7%)
ATR(14) 13.70 (2.7%)
Risk per Share 27.40
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 52.9 +0.11
Momentum 34.7 -0.61
Quality 52.4 +0.10
Composite 46.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 4.76 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 33.5 18.0 +86% above
P/B Ratio 2.7 2.5 Inline
Dividend Yield 65.0% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
412.42
vs
Market Price
514.77
Upside
-19.9%
Margin of Safety -24.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)6,046,142,381
Terminal Value PV23,243,973,215
Total Enterprise Value29,290,115,596

Assumptions

Base FCF874,390,631
Growth Rate (5yr)21.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
37.3%
Full Kelly
18.65%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
41.27
RSI(14)
-10.9328
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

19
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-15.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High No (50d since high)
Sector Outperformance -9.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 41.27 NEUTRAL
Macd -10.9328 BEARISH
Ma Cross 551.74 / 599.17 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.15x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High710.97
Bollinger Upper556.74
SMA(200)599.17
SMA(50)551.74
SMA(20)530.21
Current Price514.77
Bollinger Lower503.67
52-Week Low502.56
ATR(14)13.7

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.18x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.5x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.87x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 521.82 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 531.76 Base line
Senkou A 526.79 Leading span A
Senkou B 571.85 Leading span B
Cloud 526.79 – 571.85 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 514.77 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 524.29 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 503.67 – 556.74  |  KC: 512.08 – 548.33

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 512.05 Anchor: 2026-09-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/MLM

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap36.56B
P/E (TTM)33.45
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.68
EPS15.39

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth21.0%
Profit Margin36.7%
ROE8.9%
Debt/Equity54.95
Current Ratio1.41
Dividend Yield65.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.10

Trading Data

514.77
Open
514.77
Day High
514.77
Day Low
685.2K
Volume (1.1x avg)

Recent News (8)

Andvari Associates Strategic Investment in Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-03
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The Fly · 2026-09-02
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24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-02
A Landmark Deal Just Rewired Martin Marietta’s (MLM) Growth Engine
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-01
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Stock Pulls Back on Expectations, Fundamentals Intact
Insider Monkey · 2026-08-31
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Could Be 20% Below Fair Value Following Lhoist Deal Closure
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-28
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Zacks · 2026-08-26
Do Wall Street Analysts Like Martin Marietta Materials Stock?
Barchart · 2026-08-26

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —