Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
MLM · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
46
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
40
Momentum
54
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 40.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 54.4 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 67.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 527.83 |
| Stop Loss | 493.41 (6.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 562.25 (+6.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 596.67 (+13.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 17.21 (3.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 34.42 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.2 | +0.13 | |
| Momentum | 49.4 | -0.02 | |
| Quality | 49.3 | -0.03 | |
| Composite | 50.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 39.4 | 18.0 | +119% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 64.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
417.65
vs
Market Price
527.83
Upside
-20.9%
| Margin of Safety | -26.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 5,857,498,617 |
| Terminal Value PV | 23,845,442,662 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 29,702,941,279 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 762,390,200 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
29.28%
Full Kelly
14.64%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
55.61
RSI(14)
12.5834
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
26
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 3d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 55.61 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 12.5834 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 502.91 / 572.22 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.44x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 710.97 |
| Bollinger Upper | 561.83 |
| SMA(200) | 572.22 |
| SMA(50) | 502.91 |
| SMA(20) | 510.35 |
| Current Price | 527.83 |
| Bollinger Lower | 458.87 |
| 52-Week Low | 464.92 |
| ATR(14) | 17.21 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 535.44 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 518.27 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 526.86 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 518.27 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 518.27 – 526.86 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 527.83 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 479.17 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 458.87 – 561.83 | KC: 486.62 – 534.08
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 17 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 520.68
Anchor: 2026-10-14 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MLM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 37.54B |
| P/E (TTM) | 39.39 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.13 |
| EPS | 13.40 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 28.3% |
| Profit Margin | 31.9% |
| ROE | 6.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 75.02 |
| Current Ratio | 1.63 |
| Dividend Yield | 64.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.03 |
Trading Data
527.83
Open
527.83
Day High
527.83
Day Low
1.38M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)