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Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

MLM · Basic Materials · · USD
512.26 USD
0.00 (-0.49%)
● Updated 2026-09-08 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

34
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 24
Momentum 34
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 46
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 20%
Trend & RS 23.9 30%
Momentum 34.3 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 45.7 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 512.89
Stop Loss 486.41 (5.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 539.37 (+5.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 565.85 (+10.3%)
ATR(14) 13.24 (2.6%)
Risk per Share 26.48
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 57.2 +0.29
Momentum 34.3 -0.63
Quality 52.4 +0.10
Composite 48.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 33.3 18.0 +85% above
P/B Ratio 2.7 2.5 Inline
Dividend Yield 65.0% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
412.42
vs
Market Price
512.26
Upside
-19.5%
Margin of Safety -24.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)6,046,142,715
Terminal Value PV23,243,974,496
Total Enterprise Value29,290,117,211

Assumptions

Base FCF874,390,679
Growth Rate (5yr)21.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
19.82%
Full Kelly
9.91%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
40.56
RSI(14)
-10.8355
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

22
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-11.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High No (51d since high)
Sector Outperformance -7.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.56 NEUTRAL
Macd -10.8355 BEARISH
Ma Cross 549.7 / 598.79 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.78x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High710.97
Bollinger Upper554.54
SMA(200)598.79
SMA(50)549.7
SMA(20)528.42
Current Price512.26
Bollinger Lower502.3
52-Week Low502.56
ATR(14)13.24

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-09-01 Normal 1.48x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.06x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.14x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08 Normal 0.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 521.82 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 531.76 Base line
Senkou A 526.79 Leading span A
Senkou B 571.85 Leading span B
Cloud 526.79 – 571.85 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 512.89 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 541.39 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 502.3 – 554.54  |  KC: 510.17 – 546.68

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 20

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 511.99 Anchor: 2026-09-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/MLM

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap36.38B
P/E (TTM)33.29
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.66
EPS15.39

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth21.0%
Profit Margin36.7%
ROE8.9%
Debt/Equity54.95
Current Ratio1.41
Dividend Yield65.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.10

Trading Data

512.26
Open
512.26
Day High
512.26
Day Low
460.4K
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

Andvari Associates Strategic Investment in Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-03
Sirius XM upgraded, Toast downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
The Fly · 2026-09-02
Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Ally Financial, GitLab, GLOBAL FOUNDRIES, Martin Marietta Materials, Rocket Lab USA, Strategy, Toast, Tower Semiconductor, and More
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-02
A Landmark Deal Just Rewired Martin Marietta’s (MLM) Growth Engine
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-01
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Stock Pulls Back on Expectations, Fundamentals Intact
Insider Monkey · 2026-08-31
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Could Be 20% Below Fair Value Following Lhoist Deal Closure
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-28
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Zacks · 2026-08-26
Do Wall Street Analysts Like Martin Marietta Materials Stock?
Barchart · 2026-08-26

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —