Marvell Technology, Inc.

MRVL · Technology · · USD

223.55 USD

+0.00 (7.05%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 85

Momentum 61

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	84.6	30%
Momentum	61.1	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	50.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	223.55
Stop Loss	192.19 (14.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	254.91 (+14.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	286.27 (+28.1%)

ATR(14)	15.68 (7.0%)
Risk per Share	31.36
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	61.1	+0.45
Quality	68.4	+0.74
Composite	43.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 23.85 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	74.0	28.0	+164% above
P/B Ratio	10.8	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	11.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

94.13

Market Price

223.55

Upside

-57.9%

Margin of Safety	-137.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	16,277,776,079
Terminal Value PV	66,265,619,789
Total Enterprise Value	82,543,395,868

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,118,654,697
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.99%

Full Kelly

23.99%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.08

RSI(14)

-0.4642

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-19.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (54d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.08	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.4642	BEARISH
Ma Cross	220.65 / 151.71	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.86x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	329.88
Bollinger Upper	252.28
SMA(200)	151.71
SMA(50)	220.65
SMA(20)	224.58
Current Price	223.55
Bollinger Lower	196.87
52-Week Low	63.07
ATR(14)	15.68

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	227.61	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	216.08	Base line
Senkou A	221.85	Leading span A
Senkou B	231.41	Leading span B
Cloud	221.85 – 231.41	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	223.55	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	187.56	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL