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Marvell Technology, Inc.

MRVL · Technology · · USD
177.95 USD
+0.00 (8.18%)
● Updated 2026-05-14 12:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

86
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 100
Momentum 100
Fundamental 89
Macro 72
Liquidity 65
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 20%
Trend & RS 99.6 30%
Momentum 100.0 15%
Fundamental 88.9 10%
Macro 71.8 20%
Liquidity 65.1 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 177.95
Stop Loss 158.67 (10.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 197.23 (+10.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 216.51 (+21.7%)
ATR(14) 9.64 (5.4%)
Risk per Share 19.28
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 100.0 +2.00
Quality 62.2 +0.49
Composite 54.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 20.45 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 57.8 28.0 +106% above
P/B Ratio 10.5 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 13.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
86.07
vs
Market Price
177.95
Upside
-51.6%
Margin of Safety -106.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)15,338,952,456
Terminal Value PV59,928,874,186
Total Enterprise Value75,267,826,642

Assumptions

Base FCF2,154,665,116
Growth Rate (5yr)22.1%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
54.97%
Full Kelly
27.49%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 86/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
69.36
RSI(14)
13.5686
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+111.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance +87.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 69.36 NEUTRAL
Macd 13.5686 BEARISH
Ma Cross 124.05 / 92.14 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.23x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High182.31
Bollinger Upper182.34
SMA(200)92.14
SMA(50)124.05
SMA(20)160.28
Current Price177.95
Bollinger Lower138.21
52-Week Low58.61
ATR(14)9.64

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-07 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 0.8x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 0.89x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 Normal 0.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13 Normal 1.23x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 170.13 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 146.35 Base line
Senkou A 158.24 Leading span A
Senkou B 128.76 Leading span B
Cloud 128.76 – 158.24 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 177.95 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 114.39 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 138.21 – 182.34  |  KC: 145.38 – 175.17

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 6

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 90.89 Anchor: 2025-05-30 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +95.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/MRVL

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap155.61B
P/E (TTM)57.78
Forward P/EN/A
P/B10.54
EPS3.08

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth22.1%
Profit Margin32.6%
ROE19.3%
Debt/Equity33.48
Current Ratio2.01
Dividend Yield13.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta2.25

Trading Data

177.95
Open
177.95
Day High
177.95
Day Low
31.48M
Volume (1.3x avg)

Recent News (8)

Marvell Stock Pops. Why Wall Street Sees Upside.
Barrons.com · 2026-05-14
US Equity Indexes Mixed as Communication Services, Tech Help Outweigh Impact of Hot Producer Prices
MT Newswires · 2026-05-13
Nvidia Rallies As CEO Jensen Huang Joins Trump's China Trip
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-05-13
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Post New Record Highs on Chip Stock Strength
Barchart · 2026-05-13
Chip Stocks Bounce Back, Pushing Nasdaq Higher
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-05-13
US Equity Markets Mixed Amid Gains in Tech Stocks Despite Hot Producer Data
MT Newswires · 2026-05-13
US Equity Indexes Mixed as Communication Services, Tech Gains Offset Impact of Hot Producer Prices
MT Newswires · 2026-05-13
US Equity Indexes Mixed Amid Hot Producer Prices, Tech Gains
MT Newswires · 2026-05-13

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —