Marvell Technology, Inc.
MRVL · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
42
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
65
Momentum
7
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
91
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 64.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 6.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 90.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 133.55 |
| Stop Loss | 96.69 (27.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 170.41 (+27.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 207.27 (+55.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 18.43 (13.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 36.86 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 26.1 | -0.96 | |
| Momentum | 6.1 | -1.76 | |
| Quality | 68.4 | +0.74 | |
| Composite | 33.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 43.9 | 28.0 | +57% above |
| P/B Ratio | 6.3 | 6.0 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 18.0% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
94.75
vs
Market Price
133.55
Upside
-29.1%
| Margin of Safety | -40.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 16,812,333,495 |
| Terminal Value PV | 68,441,763,399 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 85,254,096,894 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,188,230,699 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
26.54%
Full Kelly
13.27%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 42/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
22.65
RSI(14)
-23.242
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-34.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (22d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -44.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 22.65 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -23.242 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 236.28 / 184.69 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.37x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 329.88 |
| Bollinger Upper | 300.52 |
| SMA(200) | 184.69 |
| SMA(50) | 236.28 |
| SMA(20) | 223.95 |
| Current Price | 133.55 |
| Bollinger Lower | 147.37 |
| 52-Week Low | 70.69 |
| ATR(14) | 18.43 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
64%
Selling Climax
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.55x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Stopping Volume | 2.21x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.37x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 193.10 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 216.87 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 204.99 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 216.87 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 204.99 – 216.87 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 133.55 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 268.02 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 147.37 – 300.52 | KC: 195.58 – 252.31
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 208.91
Anchor: 2026-02-05 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-36.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MRVL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 120.16B |
| P/E (TTM) | 43.93 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 6.32 |
| EPS | 3.04 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 36.5% |
| Profit Margin | 27.9% |
| ROE | 16.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 28.52 |
| Current Ratio | 3.17 |
| Dividend Yield | 18.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.33 |
Trading Data
133.55
Open
133.55
Day High
133.55
Day Low
65.67M
Volume (2.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)