Marvell Technology, Inc.

MRVL · Technology · · USD

233.50 USD

0.00 (-4.02%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 100

Momentum 81

Fundamental 78

Macro 65

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	99.6	30%
Momentum	80.9	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	65.2	20%
Liquidity	43.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	236.29
Stop Loss	188.05 (20.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	284.53 (+20.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	332.77 (+40.8%)

ATR(14)	24.12 (10.2%)
Risk per Share	48.24
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	80.9	+1.24
Quality	69.8	+0.79
Composite	50.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	80.0	28.0	+186% above
P/B Ratio	11.2	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	10.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

91.01

Market Price

233.50

Upside

-61.0%

Margin of Safety	-156.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	15,714,126,815
Terminal Value PV	63,971,045,412
Total Enterprise Value	79,685,172,227

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,045,292,209
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

51.51%

Full Kelly

25.76%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 80/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.8%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.31

RSI(14)

-0.2892

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+86.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (24d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+81.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.31	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.2892	BEARISH
Ma Cross	231.48 / 126.71	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.13x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	329.88
Bollinger Upper	322.81
SMA(200)	126.71
SMA(50)	231.48
SMA(20)	272.2
Current Price	233.50
Bollinger Lower	221.58
52-Week Low	61.44
ATR(14)	24.12

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	No Demand	0.52x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-07-07	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.52x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	No Demand	0.43x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-07-10	Normal	0.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	261.47	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	276.41	Base line
Senkou A	268.94	Leading span A
Senkou B	238.37	Leading span B
Cloud	238.37 – 268.94	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	236.29	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	301.65	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH