S&P 500 7543.64 +0.81%
NASDAQ 26206.89 +1.30%
TASI 10808.43 -0.42%
Oil (WTI) 72.30 +0.31%
Oil (Brent) 76.58 +0.37%
VIX 15.82 -0.13%
Gold 4114.50 -0.64%
USD/SAR 3.75 +0.00%

NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA · Technology · · USD
202.78 USD
0.00 (-0.66%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 15:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

69
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 63
Momentum 58
Fundamental 78
Macro 78
Liquidity 62
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 20%
Trend & RS 62.9 30%
Momentum 58.0 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 78.3 20%
Liquidity 61.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 202.78
Stop Loss 188.74 (6.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 216.82 (+6.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 230.86 (+13.8%)
ATR(14) 7.02 (3.5%)
Risk per Share 14.04
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 20.8 -1.17
Momentum 58.0 +0.32
Quality 94.7 +1.79
Composite 57.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 31.2 28.0 +12% above
P/B Ratio 25.1 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 49.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
203.53
vs
Market Price
202.78
Upside
+0.4%
Margin of Safety +0.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)972,142,902,578
Terminal Value PV3,957,521,693,725
Total Enterprise Value4,929,664,596,303

Assumptions

Base FCF126,530,498,804
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
45.2%
Full Kelly
22.6%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
49.67
RSI(14)
-2.8042
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

69
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-0.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (37d since high)
Sector Outperformance -36.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 49.67 NEUTRAL
Macd -2.8042 BULLISH
Ma Cross 209.24 / 191.53 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.89x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High236.54
Bollinger Upper212.83
SMA(200)191.53
SMA(50)209.24
SMA(20)201.42
Current Price202.78
Bollinger Lower190.02
52-Week Low161.61
ATR(14)7.02

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 0.74x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.89x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 197.48 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 211.04 Base line
Senkou A 204.26 Leading span A
Senkou B 213.17 Leading span B
Cloud 204.26 – 213.17 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 202.78 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 222.82 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 190.02 – 212.83  |  KC: 191.7 – 211.15

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish MACD 9

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 187.77 Anchor: 2025-07-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +8.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/NVDA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap4911.53B
P/E (TTM)31.24
Forward P/EN/A
P/B25.13
EPS6.53

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth85.2%
Profit Margin63.0%
ROE1.1%
Debt/Equity6.55
Current Ratio3.44
Dividend Yield49.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta2.21

Trading Data

202.78
Open
202.78
Day High
202.78
Day Low
130.73M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures diverge ahead of SK Hynix's mega US IPO
Yahoo Finance · 2026-07-10
Nvidia's stock valuation fell to pre–AI boom lows, but this strategist still isn't bullish
Yahoo Finance Video · 2026-07-09
Why Salesforce Plunged Over 40% in the First Half of 2026
Motley Fool · 2026-07-10
Jim Cramer on NVIDIA: “If You Buy It, Please Don’t Buy It Because of Chinese Considerations”
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-10
GE Aerospace Is a No-Brainer Buy Before July 16 Earnings. Here’s Why
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-10
3 Space Economy Stocks to Buy in July
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-10
US Equity Futures Mixed Ahead of South Korean Chipmaker SK Hynix's Trading Debut
MT Newswires · 2026-07-10
Dow Jones Futures Rise, Delta Falls On Earnings; Micron, Sandisk Slide As SK Hynix Raises $26.5 Billion
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-07-10

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —