NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA · Technology · · USD

230.36 USD

+0.00 (0.84%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 91

Momentum 78

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 66

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	90.7	10%
Momentum	77.6	5%
Fundamental	77.8	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	65.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	230.36
Stop Loss	215.60 (6.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	245.12 (+6.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	259.88 (+12.8%)

ATR(14)	7.38 (3.2%)
Risk per Share	14.76
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	23.2	-1.07
Momentum	77.6	+1.10
Quality	100.0	+2.00
Composite	66.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	29.2	28.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	24.3	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	43.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

246.23

Market Price

230.36

Upside

+6.9%

Margin of Safety	+6.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,172,506,168,559
Terminal Value PV	4,773,185,697,070
Total Enterprise Value	5,945,691,865,629

Assumptions

Base FCF	152,609,035,117
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.77%

Full Kelly

24.89%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.39

RSI(14)

3.8329

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+7.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+18.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.39	NEUTRAL
Macd	3.8329	BULLISH
Ma Cross	210.57 / 196.53	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.05x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	236.54
Bollinger Upper	232.35
SMA(200)	196.53
SMA(50)	210.57
SMA(20)	220.08
Current Price	230.36
Bollinger Lower	207.81
52-Week Low	164.27
ATR(14)	7.38

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	222.00	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	214.85	Base line
Senkou A	218.43	Leading span A
Senkou B	212.28	Leading span B
Cloud	212.28 – 218.43	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	230.36	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	200.75	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH