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NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA · Technology · · USD
206.46 USD
+0.00 (1.81%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

68
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 63
Momentum 60
Fundamental (0%) 89
Macro 71
Liquidity 50
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 40%
Trend & RS 63.3 20%
Momentum 60.5 20%
Fundamental 88.9 0%
Macro 71.2 15%
Liquidity 50.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 207.32
Stop Loss 193.43 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 221.22 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 235.12 (+13.4%)
ATR(14) 6.95 (3.4%)
Risk per Share 13.90
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 14.3 -1.43
Momentum 60.5 +0.42
Quality 94.7 +1.79
Composite 56.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 239.15 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 31.6 28.0 +13% above
P/B Ratio 25.6 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 49.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
203.53
vs
Market Price
206.46
Upside
-1.4%
Margin of Safety -1.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)972,142,942,501
Terminal Value PV3,957,521,856,252
Total Enterprise Value4,929,664,798,753

Assumptions

Base FCF126,530,504,000
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
44.46%
Full Kelly
22.23%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
54.01
RSI(14)
-2.0251
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

70
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (+1.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (38d since high)
Sector Outperformance -3.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 54.01 NEUTRAL
Macd -2.0251 BULLISH
Ma Cross 209.13 / 191.64 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.21x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High236.54
Bollinger Upper213.46
SMA(200)191.64
SMA(50)209.13
SMA(20)201.77
Current Price206.46
Bollinger Lower190.08
52-Week Low162.02
ATR(14)6.95

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.88x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.05x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 Normal 0.21x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 198.91 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 206.31 Base line
Senkou A 202.61 Leading span A
Senkou B 213.17 Leading span B
Cloud 202.61 – 213.17 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 207.32 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 214.75 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 190.08 – 213.46  |  KC: 192.2 – 211.34

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish MACD 10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 187.89 Anchor: 2025-07-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +10.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/NVDA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap5000.55B
P/E (TTM)31.62
Forward P/EN/A
P/B25.58
EPS6.53

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth85.2%
Profit Margin63.0%
ROE1.1%
Debt/Equity6.55
Current Ratio3.44
Dividend Yield49.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta2.21

Trading Data

206.46
Open
206.46
Day High
206.46
Day Low
27.03M
Volume (0.2x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —