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NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA · Technology · · USD
219.44 USD
+0.00 (1.96%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

79
/ 100
Technical 80
Trend & RS 92
Momentum 78
Fundamental (0%) 89
Macro 65
Liquidity 64
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 80.0 40%
Trend & RS 91.9 20%
Momentum 78.3 20%
Fundamental 88.9 0%
Macro 65.1 15%
Liquidity 64.1 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 219.44
Stop Loss 205.92 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 232.96 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 246.48 (+12.3%)
ATR(14) 6.76 (3.1%)
Risk per Share 13.52
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 3.8 -1.85
Momentum 78.3 +1.13
Quality 99.1 +1.96
Composite 60.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 284.80 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 44.9 28.0 +60% above
P/B Ratio 33.9 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 2.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
152.41
vs
Market Price
219.44
Upside
-30.5%
Margin of Safety -44.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)730,365,094,751
Terminal Value PV2,973,262,160,484
Total Enterprise Value3,703,627,255,235

Assumptions

Base FCF95,061,600,000
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
50.95%
Full Kelly
25.48%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 79/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.7%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
68.47
RSI(14)
6.5699
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

79
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+8.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (10d since high)
Sector Outperformance -26.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 68.47 NEUTRAL
Macd 6.5699 BULLISH
Ma Cross 189.49 / 184.95 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 1.05x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High222.30
Bollinger Upper219.29
SMA(200)184.95
SMA(50)189.49
SMA(20)204.69
Current Price219.44
Bollinger Lower190.08
52-Week Low124.47
ATR(14)6.76

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 0.75x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 1.24x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.05x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 208.52 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 197.98 Base line
Senkou A 203.25 Leading span A
Senkou B 193.29 Leading span B
Cloud 193.29 – 203.25 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 219.44 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 177.64 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 190.08 – 219.29  |  KC: 194.56 – 214.82

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 176.06 Anchor: 2025-05-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +24.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/NVDA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap5333.49B
P/E (TTM)44.88
Forward P/EN/A
P/B33.91
EPS4.89

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth73.2%
Profit Margin55.6%
ROE1.0%
Debt/Equity7.25
Current Ratio3.90
Dividend Yield2.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta2.24

Trading Data

219.44
Open
219.44
Day High
219.44
Day Low
156.89M
Volume (0.9x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —