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ON Semiconductor Corporation

ON · Technology · · USD
74.38 USD
+0.00 (0.99%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

63
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 53
Momentum 44
Fundamental 78
Macro 64
Liquidity 50
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 10%
Trend & RS 53.3 10%
Momentum 44.3 5%
Fundamental 77.8 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 49.5 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 74.38
Stop Loss 67.74 (8.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 81.02 (+8.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 87.66 (+17.9%)
ATR(14) 3.32 (4.5%)
Risk per Share 6.64
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 33.1 -0.68
Momentum 44.3 -0.23
Quality 53.9 +0.16
Composite 43.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 48.6 28.0 +74% above
P/B Ratio 4.0 6.0 Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
25.63
vs
Market Price
74.38
Upside
-65.5%
Margin of Safety -190.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)2,395,777,386
Terminal Value PV7,583,641,370
Total Enterprise Value9,979,418,756

Assumptions

Base FCF476,525,972
Growth Rate (5yr)9.2%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
41.52%
Full Kelly
20.76%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
41.91
RSI(14)
-3.47
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

70
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-41.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (53d since high)
Sector Outperformance -30.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 41.91 NEUTRAL
Macd -3.47 BULLISH
Ma Cross 83.53 / 78.35 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.45x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High134.92
Bollinger Upper84.68
SMA(200)78.35
SMA(50)83.53
SMA(20)76.45
Current Price74.38
Bollinger Lower68.21
52-Week Low44.56
ATR(14)3.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.81x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.45x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 73.34 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 78.81 Base line
Senkou A 76.08 Leading span A
Senkou B 96.11 Leading span B
Cloud 76.08 – 96.11 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 74.38 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 81.61 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 68.21 – 84.68  |  KC: 72.23 – 80.66

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 15
Regular Bullish RSI 23

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 82.37 Anchor: 2025-11-21 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -9.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/ON

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap28.96B
P/E (TTM)48.61
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.01
EPS1.53

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth9.2%
Profit Margin10.2%
ROE8.3%
Debt/Equity65.06
Current Ratio3.46
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta2.00

Trading Data

74.38
Open
74.38
Day High
74.38
Day Low
10.32M
Volume (1.0x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —