ON Semiconductor Corporation

ON · Technology · · USD

115.71 USD

+0.00 (11.14%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 12:48 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 80

Trend & RS 99

Momentum 100

Fundamental (0%) 67

Macro 72

Liquidity 81

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	80.0	40%
Trend & RS	99.2	20%
Momentum	100.0	20%
Fundamental	66.7	0%
Macro	71.8	15%
Liquidity	80.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	115.71
Stop Loss	105.19 (9.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	126.23 (+9.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	136.75 (+18.2%)

ATR(14)	5.26 (4.5%)
Risk per Share	10.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	19.9	-1.20
Momentum	100.0	+2.00
Quality	58.0	+0.32
Composite	59.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	84.5	28.0	+202% above
P/B Ratio	6.2	6.0	Inline

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

19.00

Market Price

115.71

Upside

-83.6%

Margin of Safety	-509.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,906,440,309
Terminal Value PV	5,538,610,057
Total Enterprise Value	7,445,050,366

Assumptions

Base FCF	429,525,906
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

55.13%

Full Kelly

27.56%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 87/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

76.53

RSI(14)

9.4051

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+55.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+30.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	76.53	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	9.4051	BULLISH
Ma Cross	76.5 / 60.01	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.5x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	115.99
Bollinger Upper	115.77
SMA(200)	60.01
SMA(50)	76.5
SMA(20)	97.8
Current Price	115.71
Bollinger Lower	79.83
52-Week Low	40.62
ATR(14)	5.26

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	1.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	1.5x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	106.03	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	91.19	Base line
Senkou A	98.61	Leading span A
Senkou B	85.49	Leading span B
Cloud	85.49 – 98.61	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	115.71	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	68.38	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH