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PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP · Consumer Defensive · · USD
137.25 USD
0.00 (-0.44%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

55
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 31
Momentum 38
Fundamental 72
Macro 65
Liquidity 43
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 10%
Trend & RS 30.8 10%
Momentum 38.0 5%
Fundamental 71.9 40%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 42.7 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 137.36
Stop Loss 129.86 (5.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 144.86 (+5.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 152.36 (+10.9%)
ATR(14) 3.75 (2.7%)
Risk per Share 7.50
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 49.0 -0.04
Momentum 38.0 -0.48
Quality 49.9 -0.00
Composite 45.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 4.41 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 18.0 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 8.8 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 4.2% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
124.01
vs
Market Price
137.25
Upside
-9.6%
Margin of Safety -10.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)41,066,204,283
Terminal Value PV128,328,278,295
Total Enterprise Value169,394,482,578

Assumptions

Base FCF8,327,136,000
Growth Rate (5yr)8.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
35.78%
Full Kelly
17.89%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
40.26
RSI(14)
-1.5549
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

39
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-23.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -8.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.26 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.5549 BULLISH
Ma Cross 146.03 / 148.96 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.21x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High171.48
Bollinger Upper147.58
SMA(200)148.96
SMA(50)146.03
SMA(20)141.77
Current Price137.25
Bollinger Lower135.96
52-Week Low133.75
ATR(14)3.75

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.89x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 1.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 Normal 0.21x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 141.87 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 141.87 Base line
Senkou A 141.87 Leading span A
Senkou B 147.34 Leading span B
Cloud 141.87 – 147.34 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 137.36 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 142.54 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 135.96 – 147.58  |  KC: 136.34 – 147.19

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 8
Hidden Bearish RSI 18

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 146.71 Anchor: 2025-07-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -6.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/PEP

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap187.48B
P/E (TTM)18.01
Forward P/EN/A
P/B8.78
EPS7.62

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth8.5%
Profit Margin9.1%
ROE43.9%
Debt/Equity244.84
Current Ratio0.90
Dividend Yield4.2%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.37

Trading Data

137.25
Open
137.25
Day High
137.25
Day Low
2.02M
Volume (0.2x avg)

Recent News (8)

PepsiCo reports that US consumers scaled back on snacks and soda as inflation bites
Yahoo Finance · 2026-07-09
PepsiCo Facing 'Building Risk' to Fiscal 2027 EPS, Morgan Stanley Says
MT Newswires · 2026-07-10
Gas Prices Bite Into Pepsi's Snack Sales
MediaPost · 2026-07-10
Citi cuts PepsiCo rating as North America weakness shows no signs of abating
Investing.com · 2026-07-10
Shopify upgraded, PepsiCo downgrade: Wall Street's top analyst calls
The Fly · 2026-07-10
What Would It Take to Permanently Cover Long-Term Care Insurance Premiums?
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-10
Could Coca-Cola Issue a Stock Split If It Hits $100 Per Share?
Motley Fool · 2026-07-10
What Analysts Really Pressed GIS On This Quarter
Trefis · 2026-07-10

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —