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PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP · Consumer Defensive · · USD
137.63 USD
0.00 (-0.66%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

48
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 33
Momentum 42
Fundamental 56
Macro 64
Liquidity 53
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 10%
Trend & RS 32.8 10%
Momentum 41.7 5%
Fundamental 55.6 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 52.6 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 137.63
Stop Loss 132.93 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 142.33 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 147.03 (+6.8%)
ATR(14) 2.35 (1.7%)
Risk per Share 4.70
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 43.3 -0.27
Momentum 41.7 -0.33
Quality 51.3 +0.05
Composite 45.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 18.1 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 8.5 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 4.3% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
113.57
vs
Market Price
137.63
Upside
-17.5%
Margin of Safety -21.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)38,749,326,180
Terminal Value PV116,380,929,746
Total Enterprise Value155,130,255,926

Assumptions

Base FCF8,327,136,112
Growth Rate (5yr)6.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
30.87%
Full Kelly
15.44%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
45.77
RSI(14)
0.0531
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

44
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-6.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -4.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 45.77 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.0531 BEARISH
Ma Cross 138.2 / 145.58 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.93x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High171.48
Bollinger Upper142.74
SMA(200)145.58
SMA(50)138.2
SMA(20)139.14
Current Price137.63
Bollinger Lower135.53
52-Week Low133.73
ATR(14)2.35

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.57x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 139.73 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 139.82 Base line
Senkou A 139.78 Leading span A
Senkou B 139.89 Leading span B
Cloud 139.78 – 139.89 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 137.63 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 138.08 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 135.53 – 142.74  |  KC: 135.94 – 142.34

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 146.02 Anchor: 2026-01-08 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -5.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/PEP

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap188.00B
P/E (TTM)18.06
Forward P/EN/A
P/B8.51
EPS7.62

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.4%
Profit Margin10.8%
ROE51.5%
Debt/Equity238.95
Current Ratio0.93
Dividend Yield4.3%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.36

Trading Data

137.63
Open
137.63
Day High
137.63
Day Low
6.15M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

What's Wrong With PepsiCo Stock?
Motley Fool · 2026-09-07
PepsiCo's Snack Portfolio: What's Driving Volume Gains?
Zacks · 2026-09-07
PepsiCo Hasn't Been This Cheap Relative to Free Cash Flow in 10 Years. Here's Why That's the Signal to Buy.
Motley Fool · 2026-09-06
What Does PepsiCo (PEP) Fresh Foods Push Mean For Its Health Focus?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-06
Pepsi Is Dirt Cheap With a 4.2% Dividend Yield. Here's Why Wall Street Is Favoring Coca-Cola Instead.
Motley Fool · 2026-09-06
PepsiCo Loses to 30-year U.S. Treasury Bonds on Yield. Here's Why It Wins on Everything Else.
Motley Fool · 2026-09-06
Coca-Cola Stock at $88: Here's Why Investors Should Pause
Motley Fool · 2026-09-05
PepsiCo (PEP) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know
Zacks · 2026-09-04

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —