PepsiCo, Inc.
PEP · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
48
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
48
Momentum
56
Fundamental
73
Macro
22
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 47.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 55.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 73.4 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 69.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 142.71 |
| Stop Loss | 136.27 (4.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 149.15 (+4.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 155.59 (+9.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.22 (2.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.44 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 49.3 | -0.03 | |
| Momentum | 55.6 | +0.22 | |
| Quality | 51.6 | +0.06 | |
| Composite | 52.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.56
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.9 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 8.7 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
114.54
vs
Market Price
142.71
Upside
-19.7%
| Margin of Safety | -24.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 39,444,709,970 |
| Terminal Value PV | 116,645,523,746 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 156,090,233,716 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 8,667,033,345 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
31.02%
Full Kelly
15.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
65.9
RSI(14)
2.5266
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
44
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -5.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 65.9 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.5266 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 133.12 / 143.67 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.34x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 171.48 |
| Bollinger Upper | 143.96 |
| SMA(200) | 143.67 |
| SMA(50) | 133.12 |
| SMA(20) | 134.08 |
| Current Price | 142.71 |
| Bollinger Lower | 124.19 |
| 52-Week Low | 123.47 |
| ATR(14) | 3.22 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 138.70 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 134.51 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 136.60 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 134.51 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 134.51 – 136.60 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 142.71 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 125.60 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 124.19 – 143.96 | KC: 129.21 – 138.94
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 21 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 133.01
Anchor: 2026-10-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+7.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/PEP
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 194.48B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.73 |
| EPS | 7.95 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.6% |
| Profit Margin | 11.1% |
| ROE | 52.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 230.72 |
| Current Ratio | 0.94 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.32 |
Trading Data
142.71
Open
142.71
Day High
142.71
Day Low
13.08M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)