RTX Corporation
RTX · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
38
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
36
Momentum
50
Fundamental
67
Macro
23
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 35.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 50.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 72.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 191.88 |
| Stop Loss | 181.28 (5.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 202.48 (+5.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 213.08 (+11.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.30 (2.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 10.60 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.8 | +0.15 | |
| Momentum | 50.5 | +0.02 | |
| Quality | 32.9 | -0.68 | |
| Composite | 45.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.2 | 18.0 | +73% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.7 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
111.41
vs
Market Price
191.88
Upside
-41.9%
| Margin of Safety | -72.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 35,164,924,406 |
| Terminal Value PV | 115,177,375,188 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 150,342,299,594 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 6,639,247,570 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
23.35%
Full Kelly
11.67%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
46.38
RSI(14)
1.8256
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
39
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-8.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (56d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -11.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 46.38 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.8256 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 193.9 / 194.46 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.2x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 226.88 |
| Bollinger Upper | 205.06 |
| SMA(200) | 194.46 |
| SMA(50) | 193.9 |
| SMA(20) | 193.49 |
| Current Price | 191.88 |
| Bollinger Lower | 181.92 |
| 52-Week Low | 166.74 |
| ATR(14) | 5.3 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 197.86 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 192.32 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 195.09 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 196.26 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 195.09 – 196.26 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 191.88 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 185.01 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 181.92 – 205.06 | KC: 185.33 – 201.65
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 192.81
Anchor: 2025-12-03 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/RTX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 258.93B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.20 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.74 |
| EPS | 6.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.1% |
| Profit Margin | 8.8% |
| ROE | 12.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 54.76 |
| Current Ratio | 1.04 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.28 |
Trading Data
191.88
Open
191.88
Day High
191.88
Day Low
7.14M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)