RTX Corporation
RTX · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
58
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
76
Momentum
51
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
64
Liquidity
50
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 75.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 50.9 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 50.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 200.79 |
| Stop Loss | 191.95 (4.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 209.63 (+4.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 218.47 (+8.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.42 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.84 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 47.5 | -0.10 | |
| Momentum | 50.9 | +0.04 | |
| Quality | 31.9 | -0.72 | |
| Composite | 43.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 35.4 | 18.0 | +96% above |
| P/B Ratio | 4.1 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
118.05
vs
Market Price
200.79
Upside
-41.2%
| Margin of Safety | -70.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 35,580,257,276 |
| Terminal Value PV | 123,525,236,989 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 159,105,494,265 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 6,124,212,384 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 14.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
37.77%
Full Kelly
18.89%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
35.26
RSI(14)
-2.0143
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
88
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+6.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (29d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +11.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 35.26 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.0143 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 207.21 / 191.81 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.7x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 226.88 |
| Bollinger Upper | 229.89 |
| SMA(200) | 191.81 |
| SMA(50) | 207.21 |
| SMA(20) | 213.64 |
| Current Price | 200.79 |
| Bollinger Lower | 197.39 |
| 52-Week Low | 150.61 |
| ATR(14) | 4.42 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Spring | 0.7x | Price broke below support then recovered on low volume — potential reversal |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 206.27 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 212.72 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 209.50 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 205.07 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 205.07 – 209.50 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 200.79 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 214.51 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 197.39 – 229.89 | KC: 207.32 – 219.96
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 14 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 17 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 20 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 187.02
Anchor: 2025-09-09 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+7.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/RTX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 270.62B |
| P/E (TTM) | 35.35 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.08 |
| EPS | 5.68 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 14.5% |
| Profit Margin | 8.3% |
| ROE | 12.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 57.02 |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.29 |
Trading Data
200.79
Open
200.79
Day High
200.79
Day Low
2.79M
Volume (0.6x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)