RTX Corporation

RTX · Industrials · · USD

193.94 USD

0.00 (-0.64%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 68

Momentum 49

Fundamental 67

Macro 65

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	67.5	30%
Momentum	49.4	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	65.2	20%
Liquidity	44.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	194.44
Stop Loss	185.50 (4.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	203.38 (+4.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	212.32 (+9.2%)

ATR(14)	4.47 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	8.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	47.0	-0.12
Momentum	49.4	-0.02
Quality	31.4	-0.74
Composite	42.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	36.4	18.0	+102% above
P/B Ratio	3.9	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.5%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

87.46

Market Price

193.94

Upside

-54.9%

Margin of Safety	-121.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	28,475,093,579
Terminal Value PV	89,311,720,936
Total Enterprise Value	117,786,814,515

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,742,258,223
Growth Rate (5yr)	8.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

42.41%

Full Kelly

21.21%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

58.17

RSI(14)

4.2303

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-14.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-7.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	58.17	NEUTRAL
Macd	4.2303	BULLISH
Ma Cross	181.58 / 183.77	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.1x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	214.50
Bollinger Upper	201.97
SMA(200)	183.77
SMA(50)	181.58
SMA(20)	189.95
Current Price	193.94
Bollinger Lower	177.94
52-Week Low	143.56
ATR(14)	4.47

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.32x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.1x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	195.38	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	188.25	Base line
Senkou A	191.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	187.01	Leading span B
Cloud	187.01 – 191.81	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	194.44	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	172.55	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH