RTX Corporation
RTX · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
57
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
36
Momentum
48
Fundamental
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 35.8 | 10% |
| Momentum | 47.5 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 72.3 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 188.76 |
| Stop Loss | 178.46 (5.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 199.06 (+5.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 209.36 (+10.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.15 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 10.30 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 51.2 | +0.05 | |
| Momentum | 47.5 | -0.10 | |
| Quality | 32.9 | -0.68 | |
| Composite | 43.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.31
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.2 | 18.0 | +73% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.7 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
111.41
vs
Market Price
191.88
Upside
-41.9%
| Margin of Safety | -72.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 35,164,924,014 |
| Terminal Value PV | 115,177,373,907 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 150,342,297,921 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 6,639,247,496 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
37.64%
Full Kelly
18.82%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
42.77
RSI(14)
1.0807
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
39
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-10.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (57d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -12.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 42.77 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.0807 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 193.44 / 194.43 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 226.88 |
| Bollinger Upper | 204.88 |
| SMA(200) | 194.43 |
| SMA(50) | 193.44 |
| SMA(20) | 193.63 |
| Current Price | 191.88 |
| Bollinger Lower | 182.38 |
| 52-Week Low | 166.74 |
| ATR(14) | 5.15 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.76x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 197.09 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 192.32 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 194.70 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 196.26 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 194.70 – 196.26 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 188.76 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 184.68 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 182.38 – 204.88 | KC: 185.47 – 201.79
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 4 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 192.81
Anchor: 2025-12-03 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-2.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/RTX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 258.93B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.20 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.74 |
| EPS | 6.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.1% |
| Profit Margin | 8.8% |
| ROE | 12.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 54.76 |
| Current Ratio | 1.04 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.28 |
Trading Data
191.88
Open
191.88
Day High
191.88
Day Low
7.14M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)