RTX Corporation

RTX · Industrials · · USD

194.68 USD

0.00 (-0.27%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 19:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 68

Momentum 50

Fundamental 83

Macro 71

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	68.3	10%
Momentum	49.5	5%
Fundamental	83.3	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	44.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	194.55
Stop Loss	185.61 (4.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	203.49 (+4.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	212.43 (+9.2%)

ATR(14)	4.47 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	8.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	43.8	-0.25
Momentum	49.5	-0.02
Quality	31.4	-0.74
Composite	41.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.29 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	36.5	18.0	+103% above
P/B Ratio	4.0	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.5%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

87.46

Market Price

194.68

Upside

-55.1%

Margin of Safety	-122.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	28,475,093,154
Terminal Value PV	89,311,719,603
Total Enterprise Value	117,786,812,757

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,742,258,137
Growth Rate (5yr)	8.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

45.5%

Full Kelly

22.75%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

58.35

RSI(14)

4.2391

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-14.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	58.35	NEUTRAL
Macd	4.2391	BULLISH
Ma Cross	181.58 / 183.77	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.15x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	214.50
Bollinger Upper	201.98
SMA(200)	183.77
SMA(50)	181.58
SMA(20)	189.96
Current Price	194.68
Bollinger Lower	177.93
52-Week Low	143.56
ATR(14)	4.47

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.31x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.15x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	195.38	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	188.25	Base line
Senkou A	191.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	187.01	Leading span B
Cloud	187.01 – 191.81	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	194.55	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	172.55	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH