RTX Corporation

RTX · Industrials · · USD

200.79 USD

0.00 (-0.66%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 76

Momentum 51

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	75.6	30%
Momentum	50.9	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	50.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	200.79
Stop Loss	191.95 (4.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	209.63 (+4.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	218.47 (+8.8%)

ATR(14)	4.42 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	8.84
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	44.7	-0.21
Momentum	50.9	+0.04
Quality	31.9	-0.72
Composite	42.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.46 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	35.4	18.0	+96% above
P/B Ratio	4.1	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.4%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

118.05

Market Price

200.79

Upside

-41.2%

Margin of Safety	-70.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	35,580,260,892
Terminal Value PV	123,525,249,544
Total Enterprise Value	159,105,510,436

Assumptions

Base FCF	6,124,213,006
Growth Rate (5yr)	14.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

42.03%

Full Kelly

21.02%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

35.26

RSI(14)

-2.0143

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+6.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (29d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+11.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	35.26	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.0143	BEARISH
Ma Cross	207.21 / 191.81	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.7x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	226.88
Bollinger Upper	229.89
SMA(200)	191.81
SMA(50)	207.21
SMA(20)	213.64
Current Price	200.79
Bollinger Lower	197.39
52-Week Low	150.61
ATR(14)	4.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Spring	0.7x	Price broke below support then recovered on low volume — potential reversal

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	206.27	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	212.72	Base line
Senkou A	209.50	Leading span A
Senkou B	205.07	Leading span B
Cloud	205.07 – 209.50	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	200.79	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	214.51	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH