S&P 500 7559.45 +0.21%
NASDAQ 26226.06 +0.07%
TASI 10808.43 -0.42%
Oil (WTI) 71.59 -0.68%
Oil (Brent) 76.06 -0.31%
VIX 15.59 -1.58%
Gold 4112.90 -0.67%
USD/SAR 3.75 +0.01%

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · Consumer Defensive · · USD
132.66 USD
+0.00 (0.19%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

24
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 30
Momentum 28
Fundamental (0%) 44
Macro 71
Liquidity 34
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 40%
Trend & RS 29.5 20%
Momentum 27.6 20%
Fundamental 44.4 0%
Macro 71.2 15%
Liquidity 33.6 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 133.50
Stop Loss 124.54 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 142.46 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 151.42 (+13.4%)
ATR(14) 4.48 (3.4%)
Risk per Share 8.96
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 79.4 +1.18
Momentum 27.6 -0.90
Quality 46.5 -0.14
Composite 51.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 12.4 18.0 -31% below
P/B Ratio 2.8 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 3.1% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
131.72
vs
Market Price
132.66
Upside
-0.7%
Margin of Safety -0.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)6,000,064,310
Terminal Value PV16,498,035,399
Total Enterprise Value22,498,099,709

Assumptions

Base FCF1,457,985,999
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.77%
Recommended Size
9.94%
Full Kelly
4.97%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 24/100. Estimated win rate 47%, avg win 6.4%, avg loss 4.5%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
40.05
RSI(14)
-3.1759
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

36
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-28.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -12.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.05 NEUTRAL
Macd -3.1759 BEARISH
Ma Cross 142.79 / 144.51 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.02x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High178.14
Bollinger Upper151.08
SMA(200)144.51
SMA(50)142.79
SMA(20)139.72
Current Price132.66
Bollinger Lower128.36
52-Week Low126.45
ATR(14)4.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.4x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.95x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.91x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.02x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 137.41 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 139.84 Base line
Senkou A 138.62 Leading span A
Senkou B 143.20 Leading span B
Cloud 138.62 – 143.20 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 133.50 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 135.40 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 128.36 – 151.08  |  KC: 132.8 – 146.65

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 19
Regular Bullish RSI 26

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 146.38 Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -8.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/STZ

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap22.66B
P/E (TTM)12.43
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.84
EPS10.67

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-3.3%
Profit Margin20.1%
ROE23.7%
Debt/Equity123.20
Current Ratio0.91
Dividend Yield3.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.38

Trading Data

132.66
Open
132.66
Day High
132.66
Day Low
35.0K
Volume (0.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

What Analysts Really Pressed STZ On This Quarter
Trefis · 2026-07-09
Jim Cramer on Constellation Brands: “I Think It’s a Steal Down Here”
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-09
Is Constellation Brands (STZ) Undervalued After Earnings Exposed Growth And Margin Questions?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-08
Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Anheuser-Busch, Diageo, Constellation Brands, Brown-Forman and Molson Coors Beverage
Zacks · 2026-07-08
STZ Stock Tracks Key Alcohol Trends in Demand and Margins
Zacks · 2026-07-07
Is STZ Stock a Value Play or a Warning Sign for Investors?
Zacks · 2026-07-07
Constellation Brands Stock Outlook Hinges on Beer Strength
Zacks · 2026-07-07
5 Alcohol Stocks to Watch Amid Changing Consumer Preferences
Zacks · 2026-07-07

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —