Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

SWK · Industrials · · USD

97.36 USD

+0.00 (0.89%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 96

Momentum 78

Fundamental 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	96.0	10%
Momentum	77.8	5%
Fundamental	55.6	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	41.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	97.36
Stop Loss	91.64 (5.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	103.08 (+5.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	108.80 (+11.8%)

ATR(14)	2.86 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	5.72
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	73.1	+0.92
Momentum	77.8	+1.11
Quality	29.5	-0.82
Composite	60.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.8	18.0	+32% above
P/B Ratio	1.6	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

50.49

Market Price

97.36

Upside

-48.1%

Margin of Safety	-92.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,033,483,492
Terminal Value PV	5,591,353,838
Total Enterprise Value	7,624,837,330

Assumptions

Base FCF	494,126,447
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

40.29%

Full Kelly

20.15%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

50.15

RSI(14)

0.2653

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+20.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (18d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+25.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	50.15	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.2653	BEARISH
Ma Cross	95.18 / 81.05	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.92x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	104.68
Bollinger Upper	104.26
SMA(200)	81.05
SMA(50)	95.18
SMA(20)	99.29
Current Price	97.36
Bollinger Lower	94.33
52-Week Low	61.90
ATR(14)	2.86

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	97.44	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	99.28	Base line
Senkou A	98.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	94.77	Leading span B
Cloud	94.77 – 98.36	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	97.36	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	94.58	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL