Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

SWK · Industrials · · USD

94.23 USD

0.00 (-2.38%)

● Updated 2026-09-08 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 75

Momentum 73

Fundamental 56

Macro 65

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	74.7	30%
Momentum	73.2	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	64.7	20%
Liquidity	33.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	93.97
Stop Loss	88.15 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	99.79 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	105.61 (+12.4%)

ATR(14)	2.91 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	5.82
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	74.2	+0.97
Momentum	73.2	+0.93
Quality	29.5	-0.82
Composite	59.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.0	18.0	+28% above
P/B Ratio	1.6	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

50.49

Market Price

94.23

Upside

-46.4%

Margin of Safety	-86.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,033,483,536
Terminal Value PV	5,591,353,961
Total Enterprise Value	7,624,837,497

Assumptions

Base FCF	494,126,457
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

41.78%

Full Kelly

20.89%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.16

RSI(14)

-0.0486

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+15.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (19d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+19.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.16	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0486	BEARISH
Ma Cross	95.22 / 81.22	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.52x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	104.68
Bollinger Upper	104.1
SMA(200)	81.22
SMA(50)	95.22
SMA(20)	98.86
Current Price	94.23
Bollinger Lower	93.62
52-Week Low	61.90
ATR(14)	2.91

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08	Normal	0.52x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	97.36	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	99.27	Base line
Senkou A	98.31	Leading span A
Senkou B	94.77	Leading span B
Cloud	94.77 – 98.31	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	93.97	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	98.11	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH