Targa Resources Corp.

TRGP · Energy · · USD

290.05 USD

0.00 (-1.19%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 73

Fundamental (0%) 60

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	98.4	20%
Momentum	72.9	20%
Fundamental	60.3	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	41.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	290.05
Stop Loss	274.37 (5.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	305.73 (+5.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	321.41 (+10.8%)

ATR(14)	7.84 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	15.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	34.5	-0.62
Momentum	72.9	+0.92
Quality	51.6	+0.06
Composite	53.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.25 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.7	10.0	+177% above
P/B Ratio	19.9	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.7%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

142.11

Market Price

290.05

Upside

-51.0%

Margin of Safety	-104.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,861,373,078
Terminal Value PV	22,612,099,921
Total Enterprise Value	30,473,472,999

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,796,074,232
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.26%

Full Kelly

24.63%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

54.62

RSI(14)

5.4526

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+5.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (11d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-9.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	54.62	NEUTRAL
Macd	5.4526	BEARISH
Ma Cross	277.15 / 236.23	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.49x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	307.94
Bollinger Upper	310.93
SMA(200)	236.23
SMA(50)	277.15
SMA(20)	286.79
Current Price	290.05
Bollinger Lower	262.65
52-Week Low	144.14
ATR(14)	7.84

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.45x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.49x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	291.74	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	281.51	Base line
Senkou A	286.62	Leading span A
Senkou B	281.38	Leading span B
Cloud	281.38 – 286.62	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	290.05	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	270.37	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH