Targa Resources Corp.

TRGP · Energy · · USD

270.63 USD

0.00 (-0.88%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 96

Momentum 78

Fundamental 44

Macro 65

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	96.4	10%
Momentum	78.3	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	65.2	15%
Liquidity	37.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	270.63
Stop Loss	255.95 (5.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	285.31 (+5.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	299.99 (+10.8%)

ATR(14)	7.34 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	14.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	24.9	-1.01
Momentum	78.3	+1.13
Quality	50.7	+0.03
Composite	51.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.6	10.0	+176% above
P/B Ratio	18.5	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.6%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

120.98

Market Price

270.63

Upside

-55.3%

Margin of Safety	-123.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	6,925,277,274
Terminal Value PV	19,042,040,840
Total Enterprise Value	25,967,318,114

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,682,808,180
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

38.51%

Full Kelly

19.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.6

RSI(14)

2.2699

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+0.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (35d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+6.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.6	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.2699	BULLISH
Ma Cross	264.47 / 212.93	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.07x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	280.00
Bollinger Upper	279.34
SMA(200)	212.93
SMA(50)	264.47
SMA(20)	267.2
Current Price	270.63
Bollinger Lower	255.05
52-Week Low	144.14
ATR(14)	7.34

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Demand	0.07x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	267.51	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	266.41	Base line
Senkou A	266.96	Leading span A
Senkou B	259.40	Leading span B
Cloud	259.40 – 266.96	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	270.63	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	262.69	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH