Targa Resources Corp.
TRGP · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
56
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
77
Momentum
54
Fundamental
44
Macro
22
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 76.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 54.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 68.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 271.82 |
| Stop Loss | 251.36 (7.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 292.28 (+7.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 312.74 (+15.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 10.23 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 20.46 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 28.8 | -0.85 | |
| Momentum | 49.2 | -0.03 | |
| Quality | 51.6 | +0.06 | |
| Composite | 43.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.1 | 10.0 | +140% above |
| P/B Ratio | 19.0 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
153.38
vs
Market Price
271.82
Upside
-43.6%
| Margin of Safety | -77.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,484,576,632 |
| Terminal Value PV | 24,404,654,601 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 32,889,231,233 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,938,456,464 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 4.2% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
36.41%
Full Kelly
18.2%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
37.93
RSI(14)
1.2803
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
91
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+11.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 37.93 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.2803 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 288.8 / 259.45 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.65x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 316.60 |
| Bollinger Upper | 314.51 |
| SMA(200) | 259.45 |
| SMA(50) | 288.8 |
| SMA(20) | 294.23 |
| Current Price | 271.82 |
| Bollinger Lower | 273.94 |
| 52-Week Low | 166.18 |
| ATR(14) | 10.23 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.11x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.68x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 293.95 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 291.27 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 292.61 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 291.27 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 291.27 – 292.61 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 271.82 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 278.19 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 273.94 – 314.51 | KC: 279.5 – 308.95
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 238.49
Anchor: 2025-11-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+14.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/TRGP
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 58.29B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.05 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 19.02 |
| EPS | 11.30 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.2% |
| Profit Margin | 13.5% |
| ROE | 70.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 515.79 |
| Current Ratio | 0.77 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.74 |
Trading Data
271.82
Open
271.82
Day High
271.82
Day Low
1.99M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)