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The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · Financial Services · · USD
337.48 USD
0.00 (-0.14%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 16:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

82
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 90
Momentum 79
Fundamental 56
Macro 78
Liquidity 46
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 90.3 30%
Momentum 79.2 15%
Fundamental 55.6 10%
Macro 78.4 20%
Liquidity 45.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 337.48
Stop Loss 323.14 (4.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 351.82 (+4.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 366.16 (+8.5%)
ATR(14) 7.17 (2.1%)
Risk per Share 14.34
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 85.2 +1.41
Momentum 79.2 +1.17
Quality 40.5 -0.38
Composite 68.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 10.1 18.0 -44% below
P/B Ratio 2.2 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 1.5% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
413.30
vs
Market Price
337.48
Upside
+22.5%
Margin of Safety +18.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)23,438,646,270
Terminal Value PV64,447,911,876
Total Enterprise Value87,886,558,146

Assumptions

Base FCF5,695,475,301
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
52.88%
Full Kelly
26.44%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.0%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
67.98
RSI(14)
10.4024
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

75
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+0.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High No (2d since high)
Sector Outperformance +2.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 67.98 NEUTRAL
Macd 10.4024 BULLISH
Ma Cross 307.86 / 291.23 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.62x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High349.35
Bollinger Upper350.85
SMA(200)291.23
SMA(50)307.86
SMA(20)321.54
Current Price337.48
Bollinger Lower292.23
52-Week Low249.19
ATR(14)7.17

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 0.66x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 0.69x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.69x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.62x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 334.37 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 317.63 Base line
Senkou A 326.00 Leading span A
Senkou B 317.63 Leading span B
Cloud 317.63 – 326.00 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 337.48 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 290.64 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 292.23 – 350.85  |  KC: 310.57 – 332.51

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 287.56 Anchor: 2025-07-15 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +17.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/TRV

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap71.76B
P/E (TTM)10.07
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.24
EPS33.48

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth1.0%
Profit Margin15.5%
ROE25.3%
Debt/Equity28.98
Current Ratio0.34
Dividend Yield1.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.47

Trading Data

337.48
Open
337.48
Day High
337.48
Day Low
1.02M
Volume (0.6x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —