S&P 500 7559.45 +0.21%
NASDAQ 26226.06 +0.07%
TASI 10808.43 -0.42%
Oil (WTI) 71.59 -0.68%
Oil (Brent) 76.06 -0.31%
VIX 15.59 -1.58%
Gold 4112.90 -0.67%
USD/SAR 3.75 +0.01%

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · Financial Services · · USD
336.95 USD
0.00 (-0.14%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

86
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 90
Momentum 79
Fundamental (0%) 56
Macro 71
Liquidity 39
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 40%
Trend & RS 90.3 20%
Momentum 79.0 20%
Fundamental 55.6 0%
Macro 71.2 15%
Liquidity 38.6 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 336.07
Stop Loss 322.47 (4.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 349.67 (+4.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 363.27 (+8.1%)
ATR(14) 6.80 (2.0%)
Risk per Share 13.60
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 85.2 +1.41
Momentum 79.0 +1.16
Quality 40.5 -0.38
Composite 68.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 10.1 18.0 -44% below
P/B Ratio 2.2 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 1.5% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
413.67
vs
Market Price
336.95
Upside
+22.8%
Margin of Safety +18.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)23,459,650,061
Terminal Value PV64,505,664,806
Total Enterprise Value87,965,314,867

Assumptions

Base FCF5,700,579,119
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
55.02%
Full Kelly
27.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 86/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
66.01
RSI(14)
10.0076
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

75
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+0.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance +2.1% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 66.01 NEUTRAL
Macd 10.0076 BULLISH
Ma Cross 308.41 / 291.55 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.03x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High349.35
Bollinger Upper351.86
SMA(200)291.55
SMA(50)308.41
SMA(20)323.18
Current Price336.95
Bollinger Lower294.5
52-Week Low249.19
ATR(14)6.8

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.64x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Demand 0.03x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 337.44 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 318.55 Base line
Senkou A 327.99 Leading span A
Senkou B 317.63 Leading span B
Cloud 317.63 – 327.99 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 336.07 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 288.74 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 294.5 – 351.86  |  KC: 312.58 – 333.77

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 287.57 Anchor: 2025-07-15 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +16.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/TRV

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap71.65B
P/E (TTM)10.06
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.24
EPS33.51

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth1.0%
Profit Margin15.5%
ROE25.3%
Debt/Equity28.98
Current Ratio0.34
Dividend Yield1.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.47

Trading Data

336.95
Open
336.95
Day High
336.95
Day Low
47.6K
Volume (0.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

Shopify upgraded, PepsiCo downgrade: Wall Street's top analyst calls
The Fly · 2026-07-10
Here Are Friday’s Best Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: CubeSmart, Digital Realty Trust, Honeywell Aerospace, IBM, PepsiCo, Seagate, Shopify, Toll Brothers, Twilio, and More
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-10
The AI Revolution Comes to the Insurance Industry. Look Who’s Winning.
Barrons.com · 2026-07-10
Personal Line Carriers Expected to Post Strong Underwriting in 2026, Morgan Stanley Says
MT Newswires · 2026-07-08
Travelers' Automobile and Homeowners Insurance Business Drives Growth
Zacks · 2026-07-08
Dollar Tree upgraded, PayPal initiated: Wall Street's top analyst calls
The Fly · 2026-07-08
Here Are Wednesday’s Best Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Alcoa, Commercial Metals, DTE Energy, Dollar Tree, Occidental Petroleum, PayPal, Pinterest, Snap, Travelers, and More
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-08
2 S&P 500 Stocks with Promising Prospects and 1 We Question
StockStory · 2026-07-08

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —