Waste Management, Inc.

WM · Industrials · · USD

218.99 USD

0.00 (-1.23%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 48

Momentum 44

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 59

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	48.0	10%
Momentum	44.1	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	58.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	218.99
Stop Loss	211.11 (3.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	226.87 (+3.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	234.75 (+7.2%)

ATR(14)	3.94 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	7.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	27.3	-0.91
Momentum	44.1	-0.24
Quality	44.5	-0.22
Composite	38.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	31.0	18.0	+72% above
P/B Ratio	8.8	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.7%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

95.15

Market Price

218.99

Upside

-56.6%

Margin of Safety	-130.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	9,840,286,570
Terminal Value PV	28,190,630,497
Total Enterprise Value	38,030,917,067

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,260,789,220
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.47%

Full Kelly

15.73%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.21

RSI(14)

-2.4192

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-5.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.21	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.4192	BEARISH
Ma Cross	228.33 / 224.16	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.22x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	248.13
Bollinger Upper	228.73
SMA(200)	224.16
SMA(50)	228.33
SMA(20)	222.79
Current Price	218.99
Bollinger Lower	216.86
52-Week Low	194.11
ATR(14)	3.94

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.39x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	221.26	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	223.92	Base line
Senkou A	222.59	Leading span A
Senkou B	231.71	Leading span B
Cloud	222.59 – 231.71	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	218.99	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	226.55	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH