Waste Management, Inc.
WM · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
66
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
75
Momentum
63
Fundamental
56
Macro
54
Liquidity
59
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 75.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 63.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 58.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 236.26 |
| Stop Loss | 225.12 (4.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 247.40 (+4.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 258.54 (+9.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.57 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 11.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 23.6 | -1.06 | |
| Momentum | 63.1 | +0.52 | |
| Quality | 45.4 | -0.19 | |
| Composite | 44.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.0 | 18.0 | +72% above |
| P/B Ratio | 9.5 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
113.09
vs
Market Price
236.26
Upside
-52.1%
| Margin of Safety | -108.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 11,248,457,403 |
| Terminal Value PV | 33,718,932,141 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 44,967,389,544 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,423,982,447 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 6.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
43.54%
Full Kelly
21.77%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
58.84
RSI(14)
5.8789
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
62
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+9.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (1d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +12.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 58.84 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 5.8789 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 219.2 / 224.19 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.99x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 248.13 |
| Bollinger Upper | 249.03 |
| SMA(200) | 224.19 |
| SMA(50) | 219.2 |
| SMA(20) | 230.54 |
| Current Price | 236.26 |
| Bollinger Lower | 212.04 |
| 52-Week Low | 197.47 |
| ATR(14) | 5.57 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 236.02 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 223.99 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 230.00 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 223.99 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 223.99 – 230.00 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 236.26 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 204.45 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 212.04 – 249.03 | KC: 221.83 – 239.24
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 222.05
Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 93.95B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.01 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.52 |
| EPS | 7.62 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 6.3% |
| Profit Margin | 11.8% |
| ROE | 31.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 237.25 |
| Current Ratio | 0.82 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.39 |
Trading Data
236.26
Open
236.26
Day High
236.26
Day Low
2.56M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)