Wynn Resorts, Limited
WYNN · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)
25
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
25
Momentum
27
Fundamental
22
Macro
24
Liquidity
29
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 25.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 27.1 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 22.2 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 29.3 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 78.59 |
| Stop Loss | 73.01 (7.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 84.17 (+7.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 89.75 (+14.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.79 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.58 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 67.2 | +0.69 | |
| Momentum | 27.1 | -0.91 | |
| Quality | 30.4 | -0.78 | |
| Composite | 41.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.8 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | -30.6 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
44.63
vs
Market Price
82.38
Upside
-45.8%
| Margin of Safety | -84.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,377,268,597 |
| Terminal Value PV | 3,218,497,573 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 4,595,766,170 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 343,520,889 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
10.85%
Full Kelly
5.43%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 25/100. Estimated win rate 47%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
52.06
RSI(14)
-0.446
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
13
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-18.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -21.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.06 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.446 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 80.59 / 97.25 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.04x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 134.72 |
| Bollinger Upper | 80.99 |
| SMA(200) | 97.25 |
| SMA(50) | 80.59 |
| SMA(20) | 75.83 |
| Current Price | 82.38 |
| Bollinger Lower | 70.66 |
| 52-Week Low | 70.79 |
| ATR(14) | 2.79 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 76.98 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 76.98 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 76.98 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 84.94 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 76.98 – 84.94 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 78.59 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 75.88 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 70.66 – 80.99 | KC: 71.74 – 79.92
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 77.72
Anchor: 2026-10-28 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WYNN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 8.48B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.75 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -30.65 |
| EPS | 4.17 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -7.9% |
| Profit Margin | 5.2% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | N/A |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
82.38
Open
82.38
Day High
82.38
Day Low
579.7K
Volume (0.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)