Wynn Resorts, Limited
WYNN · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)
32
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
25
Momentum
31
Fundamental
22
Macro
24
Liquidity
63
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 25.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 30.9 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 22.2 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 63.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 79.32 |
| Stop Loss | 73.50 (7.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 85.14 (+7.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 90.96 (+14.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.91 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.82 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 68.8 | +0.75 | |
| Momentum | 28.1 | -0.88 | |
| Quality | 30.4 | -0.78 | |
| Composite | 42.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.0 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | -29.5 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
44.63
vs
Market Price
79.32
Upside
-43.7%
| Margin of Safety | -77.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,377,268,621 |
| Terminal Value PV | 3,218,497,624 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 4,595,766,245 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 343,520,895 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
17.57%
Full Kelly
8.79%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
53.76
RSI(14)
-0.6284
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
13
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-17.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (61d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -23.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 53.76 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.6284 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 80.89 / 97.43 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.63x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 134.72 |
| Bollinger Upper | 80.66 |
| SMA(200) | 97.43 |
| SMA(50) | 80.89 |
| SMA(20) | 75.65 |
| Current Price | 79.32 |
| Bollinger Lower | 70.65 |
| 52-Week Low | 70.79 |
| ATR(14) | 2.91 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.11x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 76.98 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 76.98 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 76.98 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 85.39 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 76.98 – 85.39 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 79.32 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 77.30 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 70.65 – 80.66 | KC: 71.54 – 79.77
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 13 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 77.71
Anchor: 2026-10-28 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WYNN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 8.17B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.02 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -29.51 |
| EPS | 4.17 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -7.9% |
| Profit Margin | 5.2% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | N/A |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
79.32
Open
79.32
Day High
79.32
Day Low
3.75M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)