Wynn Resorts, Limited

WYNN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

91.54 USD

0.00 (-0.02%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 17

Momentum 30

Fundamental (0%) 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 41

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	40%
Trend & RS	17.4	20%
Momentum	29.7	20%
Fundamental	44.4	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	40.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	91.54
Stop Loss	86.20 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	96.88 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	102.22 (+11.7%)

ATR(14)	2.67 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	5.34
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	62.3	+0.49
Momentum	29.7	-0.81
Quality	21.9	-1.12
Composite	38.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	21.9	18.0	+22% above
P/B Ratio	-55.0	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	1.1%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

54.84

Market Price

91.54

Upside

-40.1%

Margin of Safety	-66.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,577,731,447
Terminal Value PV	4,069,498,387
Total Enterprise Value	5,647,229,834

Assumptions

Base FCF	343,520,911
Growth Rate (5yr)	6.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

3.2%

Recommended Size

7.12%

Full Kelly

3.56%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 21/100. Estimated win rate 46%, avg win 6.3%, avg loss 4.6%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

33.22

RSI(14)

-2.268

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-16.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (59d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-16.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	33.22	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.268	BEARISH
Ma Cross	97.83 / 106.61	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.81x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	134.72
Bollinger Upper	107.37
SMA(200)	106.61
SMA(50)	97.83
SMA(20)	97.95
Current Price	91.54
Bollinger Lower	88.52
52-Week Low	89.44
ATR(14)	2.67

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Sign of Weakness

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	94.72	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	99.21	Base line
Senkou A	96.96	Leading span A
Senkou B	99.21	Leading span B
Cloud	96.96 – 99.21	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	91.54	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	99.07	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH