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Wynn Resorts, Limited

WYNN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
91.54 USD
0.00 (-0.02%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 22:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

21
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 17
Momentum 30
Fundamental (0%) 36
Macro 64
Liquidity 41
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 40%
Trend & RS 17.4 20%
Momentum 29.7 20%
Fundamental 35.7 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 40.7 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 91.54
Stop Loss 86.20 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 96.88 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 102.22 (+11.7%)
ATR(14) 2.67 (2.9%)
Risk per Share 5.34
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 66.2 +0.65
Momentum 29.7 -0.81
Quality 21.9 -1.12
Composite 39.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 1.35 — Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 21.9 18.0 +22% above
P/B Ratio -55.0 2.5 Inline
Dividend Yield 1.1% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
54.84
vs
Market Price
91.54
Upside
-40.1%
Margin of Safety -66.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,577,731,399
Terminal Value PV4,069,498,268
Total Enterprise Value5,647,229,667

Assumptions

Base FCF343,520,900
Growth Rate (5yr)6.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

3.2%
Recommended Size
7.12%
Full Kelly
3.56%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 21/100. Estimated win rate 46%, avg win 6.3%, avg loss 4.6%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
33.22
RSI(14)
-2.268
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

6
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-16.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (59d since high)
Sector Outperformance -16.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 33.22 NEUTRAL
Macd -2.268 BEARISH
Ma Cross 97.83 / 106.61 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.81x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High134.72
Bollinger Upper107.37
SMA(200)106.61
SMA(50)97.83
SMA(20)97.95
Current Price91.54
Bollinger Lower88.52
52-Week Low89.44
ATR(14)2.67

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.22x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.18x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.03x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.81x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 94.72 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 99.21 Base line
Senkou A 96.96 Leading span A
Senkou B 99.21 Leading span B
Cloud 96.96 – 99.21 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 91.54 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 99.07 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 88.52 – 107.37  |  KC: 94.2 – 101.69

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 91.27 Anchor: 2026-09-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/WYNN

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap9.43B
P/E (TTM)21.95
Forward P/EN/A
P/B-55.05
EPS4.17

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.9%
Profit Margin6.1%
ROEN/A
Debt/EquityN/A
Current Ratio0.91
Dividend Yield1.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.99

Trading Data

91.54
Open
91.54
Day High
91.54
Day Low
1.20M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Doubles Its Profit But Cracks Are Showing
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-06
Why Is Wynn (WYNN) Down 9.5% Since Last Earnings Report?
Zacks · 2026-09-03
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Beat Expectations, Is The Stock Trading At A Discount?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Stock Looks Fairly Priced Despite Al Marjan Delays
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Is Down 8.2% After Q2 Beat And Fastest Peer Growth Has The Bull Case Changed?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01
Consumer Discretionary - Casino Operator Q2 Earnings: Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN) is the Best in the Biz
StockStory · 2026-08-31
Analysts' Top S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Now
Kiplinger · 2026-08-27
1 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks for Long-Term Investors and 2 We Ignore
StockStory · 2026-08-24

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —