Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL · Communication Services · · USD

338.46 USD

0.00 (-1.11%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 49

Momentum 51

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 61

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	48.7	10%
Momentum	50.7	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	60.7	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	338.46
Stop Loss	322.24 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	354.68 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	370.90 (+9.6%)

ATR(14)	8.11 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	16.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	44.2	-0.23
Momentum	50.7	+0.03
Quality	87.8	+1.51
Composite	60.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 23.10 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.0	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	6.7	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	26.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

603.19

Market Price

338.46

Upside

+78.2%

Margin of Safety	+43.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	704,161,362,890
Terminal Value PV	2,834,841,352,968
Total Enterprise Value	3,539,002,715,858

Assumptions

Base FCF	93,592,869,162
Growth Rate (5yr)	24.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.62%

Full Kelly

22.81%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.97

RSI(14)

-2.9622

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-12.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (56d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.97	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.9622	BEARISH
Ma Cross	348.35 / 335.5	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.04x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	408.61
Bollinger Upper	352.9
SMA(200)	335.5
SMA(50)	348.35
SMA(20)	343.4
Current Price	338.46
Bollinger Lower	333.9
52-Week Low	233.23
ATR(14)	8.11

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.51x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	341.27	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	358.42	Base line
Senkou A	349.85	Leading span A
Senkou B	349.47	Leading span B
Cloud	349.47 – 349.85	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	338.46	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	355.90	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH