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Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL · Communication Services · · USD
357.18 USD
0.00 (-0.48%)
● Updated 2026-07-11 21:38 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

71
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 72
Momentum 59
Fundamental 78
Macro 75
Liquidity 56
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 72.2 10%
Momentum 59.0 5%
Fundamental 77.8 40%
Macro 74.8 15%
Liquidity 55.8 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 357.18
Stop Loss 335.76 (6.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 378.60 (+6.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 400.02 (+12.0%)
ATR(14) 10.71 (3.0%)
Risk per Share 21.42
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 30.3 -0.79
Momentum 59.0 +0.36
Quality 78.1 +1.12
Composite 55.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 27.2 18.0 +51% above
P/B Ratio 9.0 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 25.0% 1.0% Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
362.22
vs
Market Price
357.18
Upside
+1.4%
Margin of Safety +1.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)903,891,498,043
Terminal Value PV3,516,078,354,836
Total Enterprise Value4,419,969,852,879

Assumptions

Base FCF127,980,582,970
Growth Rate (5yr)21.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
46.46%
Full Kelly
23.23%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
47.0
RSI(14)
-1.7758
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

92
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (+0.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (43d since high)
Sector Outperformance +10.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 47.0 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.7758 BULLISH
Ma Cross 372.62 / 318.58 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.51x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High408.61
Bollinger Upper376.81
SMA(200)318.58
SMA(50)372.62
SMA(20)357.88
Current Price357.18
Bollinger Lower338.96
52-Week Low179.68
ATR(14)10.71

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.76x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.68x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.62x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.7x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.51x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 356.92 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 353.10 Base line
Senkou A 355.01 Leading span A
Senkou B 369.28 Leading span B
Cloud 355.01 – 369.28 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 357.18 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 358.78 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 338.96 – 376.81  |  KC: 340.7 – 375.07

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 4
Hidden Bearish MACD 4
Regular Bullish RSI 21

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 293.61 Anchor: 2025-07-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +21.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/GOOGL

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap4358.51B
P/E (TTM)27.24
Forward P/EN/A
P/B9.04
EPS13.11

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth21.8%
Profit Margin37.9%
ROE38.9%
Debt/Equity20.03
Current Ratio1.92
Dividend Yield25.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.25

Trading Data

357.18
Open
357.18
Day High
357.18
Day Low
17.44M
Volume (0.6x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —